Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 25

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona)

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Osasuna		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	5.25	Watch
	1.82	3.25	5
	1.8	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.88	3.35	5.5
	1.81	3.42	5.43
	1.75	3.3	5
	1.85	3.43	5.44	Watch
	1.83	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.75)	3.35 ↓ (3.5)	5.27 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasuna
53%

Draw
28.7%

Cádiz
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

27.2%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

20%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osasuna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cádiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	22.5%	15%

Osasuna - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Osasuna will win (votes: 25 - 62.5%). Cádiz will win (votes: 6 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 22.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osasuna: 47.5% – 77.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrera S. (G) 15. Pena R. 5. Garcia D. (C) 28. Herrando J. 22. Mojica J. 7. Moncayola J. 34. Munoz I. 10. Oroz A. 14. Garcia R. 17. Budimir A. 16. Gomez M.	1. Ledesma C. (C) 22. Mere J. 3. Fali 5. Chust V. 33. Lucas Pires 4. Alcaraz R. 27. Navarro R. 2. Zaldua J. 17. Escalante G. 16. Ramos C. 9. Juanmi
Substitutes
12. Areso J. 11. Barja K. 24. Catena A. 3. Cruz J. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 23. Garcia R. 4. Garcia U. 19. Ibanez P. 6. Torro L. 31. Valencia P. (G)	11. Alejo I. 20. Carcelen I. 8. Fernandez A. 13. Gil D. (G) 25. Gomez M. 19. Guardiola S. 12. Kouame R. 18. Machis D. 14. Mbaye M. 24. Ousou A. 6. Samassekou D. 7. Sobrino R.
Coaches
Arrasate J.	Pellegrino M.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Osasuna won 4.

Recent matches Osasuna is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cádiz is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cádiz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Osasuna is a favorite.

There will not play in Osasuna: Arnaiz J. M. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Cádiz: Hernandez L. (Knee Injury) Marti R. (Foot Injury) San Emeterio F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cádiz: Hernandez J. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Osasuna won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Osasuna won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
10.02.24	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Osasuna - Celta de Vigo	0:3 ✺
31.01.24	Barcelona - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Sevilla - Osasuna	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Osasuna - Getafe	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLLTW
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga
09.02.24	Cádiz - Betis	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	Villarreal - Cádiz	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Cádiz - Athletic Bilbao	0:0 ✺
19.01.24	Deportivo Alavés - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Cádiz - Valencia	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
10.12.23	Cádiz - Osasuna	1:1
25.04.23	Cádiz - Osasuna	0:1
20.08.22	Osasuna - Cádiz	2:0
09.01.22	Osasuna - Cádiz	2:0
29.08.21	Cádiz - Osasuna	2:3
11.05.21	Osasuna - Cádiz	3:2
12.09.20	Cádiz - Osasuna	0:2

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