Match Info

LaLiga - Round 30

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 3
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
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Kenya	Gotv
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Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
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Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar, RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 3, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Real Oviedo		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.88	Watch
	2.72	2.98	2.92	Watch
	2.81	3	2.98
	2.74	2.98	2.88	Watch
	2.63	2.8	2.9
	2.85	2.99	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.94)	2.96 ↑ (2.95)	2.93 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
34.9%

Draw
32.4%

Sevilla
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

32.1%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

32.7%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.1%	39.1%	34.8%

Real Oviedo - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Sevilla will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sevilla: 16.3% – 56.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Oviedo (5.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 22. Vidal N. 2. Bailly E. 12. Calvo D. (C) 25. Lopez J. 6. Sibo K. 23. Fonseca N. 7. Chaira I. 5. Reina A. 15. Fernandez T. 9. Vinas F.	1. Vlachodimos O. (G) 2. Carmona J. A. 5. Nianzou T. 4. Salas K. 36. Oso 19. Mendy B. 6. Gudelj N. (C) 20. Sow D. 16. Sanchez J. 9. Adams A. 11. Vargas R.
Substitutes
27. Agudin P. 3. Alhassane R. 17. Borbas T. 8. Cazorla S. 11. Colombatto S. 4. Costas D. 10. Hassan H. 1. Moldovan H. (G) 26. Narvaez M. (G)	28. Bueno M. 15. Cardoso F. 32. Castrin 21. Ejuke C. 22. Gattoni F. 24. Januzaj A. 8. Joan Jordan 13. Nyland O. (G) 14. Peque 7. Romero I. 10. Sanchez A. 12. Suazo G.
Coaches
Almada G.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Vinas F. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Vinas F. ⚽, Reina A. (A),
38', Nianzou T. 🟥,
43', Carmona J. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Carmona J. A. ↓, Castrin ↑,
46', Sow D. ↓, Bueno M. ↑,
53', Lopez J. 🟨,
54', Salas K. 🟨,
59', Vinas F. ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
59', Sibo K. ↓, Colombatto S. ↑,
69', Bueno M. 🟨,
72', Mendy B. ↓, Romero I. ↑,
72', Reina A. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,
72', Fernandez T. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
73', Oso ↓, Suazo G. ↑,
80', Vargas R. ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
85', Lopez J. ↓, Alhassane R. ↑,
89', Fonseca N. 🟨,
90', Bailly E. 🟨,
90+2', Chaira I. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 16).

Oviedo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Sevilla has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oviedo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Sevilla: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10:9	1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
21.03.26	Levante - Real Oviedo	4:2 ✺
14.03.26	Real Oviedo - Valencia	1:0 ✺
09.03.26	Espanyol - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Real Oviedo - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTLL
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
21.03.26	Sevilla - Valencia	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Barcelona - Sevilla	5:2 ✺
08.03.26	Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Betis - Sevilla	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Getafe - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
14.12.25	Sevilla - Real Oviedo	4:0

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