The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arenas Club de Getxo 43.5%
Draw 29.2%
Osasuna B 27.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.7%
29.2%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
27.9%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Osasuna B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arenas Club de Getxo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
13. Pena A. (G) 5. Garcia P. 4. Alvarez P. 23. Sustatxa A. 21. Sillero J. 20. Zabaleta E. 16. Verde A. 10. Hidalgo A. 15. Diocou B. 7. Collado U. 9. Vazquez A.
1. Stamatakis D. (G) 3. Jimenez A. 5. Santos U. 21. Ruiz R. C. 36. Kepa 34. Arrasate I. 6. Echegoyen M. 16. Auria M. 8. Yoldi A. 17. Arroyo R. 19. Bonel A.
Substitutes
24. Boriko S. 1. Gastesi O. (G) 3. Herranz Jimenez G. 18. Honrado A. 25. Jarauta J. (G) 12. Lartitegi J. 22. Mattheus C. 14. Messina F. 19. Mutilva C. 17. Rodriguez J. L. 11. Troncho A. 8. Zabala M.
29. Alonso A. 26. Garin X. 35. Kall A. 7. Lumbreras C. 11. Pedroarena M. 20. Perez B. 13. Rafa (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Sustatxa A. ⚽,
24', 🟨,
25', Vazquez A. ↓, Rodriguez J. L. ↑,
38', Rodriguez J. L. 🟨,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Arrasate I. ↓, Pedroarena M. ↑,
73', 🟨,
73', Sillero J. 🟨,
74', Hidalgo A. ↓, Zabala M. ↑,
78', Rodriguez J. L. 🟨,
84', Ruiz R. C. ↓, Kall A. ↑,
84', Zabaleta E. ↓, Herranz Jimenez G. ↑,
84', Santos U. ↓, Perez B. ↑,
90+7', Diocou B. ↓, Mattheus C. ↑,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arenas won 2.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Arenas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Arenas could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arenas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Arenas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Osasuna B - the odds 3.86 are the expected chance of winning is 24.08%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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Pena A. (G) 
Stamatakis D. (G) 
Boriko S. 
Messina F. 
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