Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 13

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Anxo Carro (Lugo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Lugo		Pontevedra

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.8	3.3
	2.25	2.92	3.25
	2.27	2.90	3.42	Watch
	2.3	2.92	3.44
	2.28	2.85	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.24)	2.88 ↑ (2.85)	3.3 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo
40.5%

Draw
31.8%

Pontevedra
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

32%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

32.5%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Lugo - Pontevedra Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez M. (C) 24. Gaya J. 4. Trigueros P. 16. Jose Amo 17. Caballo D. 5. Carbonell A. 9. Celorio N. 8. Balboa A. 7. Gonzalez J. 19. Unzueta I. 23. Junior L.	1. Sousa E. (G) 19. Garay B. 4. Bosch M. 23. Montoro A. 11. Cuesta M. 8. Abelenda B. 16. Vidorreta A. 6. Ribeiro A. 24. Rodriguez T. 7. Gonzalez A. (C) 22. Comparada Gonzalez A.
Substitutes
3. Garriz I. 2. Merino J. 6. Nicholas N. 11. Pastrana V. 13. Piedra I. (G) 14. Presa K. 15. Reniero N. 18. Roson D. 22. Samanes S. 21. Teofilovic O.	5. Conesa N. 29. Delgado A. 20. Denia M. 2. Eimil V. 3. Exposito A. 17. Macias L. 13. Marqueta R. (G) 32. Mendez I. 33. Outeirino I. 31. Rebouras E. 14. Resende J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Cuesta M. 🟨,
38', Carbonell A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Garay B. ↓, Eimil V. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Unzueta I. ⚽,
64', Carbonell A. ↓, Presa K. ↑,
64', Gonzalez J. ↓, Samanes S. ↑,
64', Celorio N. ↓, Garriz I. ↑,
64', Trigueros P. ↓, Pastrana V. ↑,
70', Cuesta M. ↓, Macias L. ↑,
76', Samanes S. 🟨,
80', Ribeiro A. ↓, Resende J. ↑,
85', Junior L. ↓, Teofilovic O. ↑,
90', Vidorreta A. ↓, Conesa N. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 6).

Recent performances by Lugo have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pontevedra is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lugo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Lugo - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.83%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.11.25	Ponferradina - Lugo	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	CD Guadalajara - Lugo	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Lugo - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Lugo	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Lugo - Celta de Vigo B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTTTW
- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.11.25	Pontevedra - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Pontevedra	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Pontevedra - Zamora	4:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	UD Ourense - Pontevedra	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.10.25	Arenteiro - Pontevedra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.08.24	Pontevedra - Lugo	1:0
27.07.22	Pontevedra - Lugo	1:0
25.07.18	Pontevedra - Lugo	2:1 penalties
06.08.13	Pontevedra - Lugo	2:1

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