Match Info

Date: 20 February 2021, Saturday


	Osnabrück		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.75	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.5	3.25	2.14
	3.6	3.2	2.08
	3.92	3.24	2.15
	3.7	3.2	2.05
	3.58	3.4	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↓ (3.72)	3.26 ↓ (3.28)	2.1 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osnabrück
25.9%

Draw
29.1%

Heidenheim
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

28.9%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

22.3%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osnabrück that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heidenheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Osnabrück - Heidenheim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).

Osnabrück has a chance of relegated (25%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Heidenheim has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Osnabrück has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Heidenheim is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Heidenheim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Heidenheim will have a small advantage in this match.

Heidenheim will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Osnabrück won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Osnabrück won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Osnabrück
German 2 Bundesliga
14.02.21	Darmstadt - Osnabrück	1:0 ✺
06.02.21	Osnabrück - Bochum	1:2 ✺
01.02.21	Hannover - Osnabrück	1:0 ✺
26.01.21	Osnabrück - Greuther Fürth	0:1 ✺
22.01.21	Osnabrück - Erzgebirge Aue	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
13.02.21	Heidenheim - Erzgebirge Aue	2:0 ✺
31.01.21	Heidenheim - St. Pauli	3:4 ✺
26.01.21	Eintracht Braunschweig - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
23.01.21	Karlsruher - Heidenheim	1:1 ✺
17.01.21	Heidenheim - Darmstadt	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.20	Heidenheim - Osnabrück	1:1
22.12.19	Heidenheim - Osnabrück	3:1
27.07.19	Osnabrück - Heidenheim	1:3
German 3 Bundesliga
03.05.14	Osnabrück - Heidenheim	1:0
30.11.13	Heidenheim - Osnabrück	2:0
13.04.13	Osnabrück - Heidenheim	2:2
20.10.12	Heidenheim - Osnabrück	1:3

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