The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Heidenheim 64.8%
Draw 21%
Erzgebirge Aue 14.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.6%
22.6%
15.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.9%
22.1%
15.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Heidenheim - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
Heidenheim has the most likely position - 7 (38.17%), has project points - 53, has currently - 45, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Aue has the most likely position - 18 (63.43%), has project points - 23, has currently - 19, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of promoted.
This event has small quality27, very small importance2, small match rating14. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 0.
Recent matches Heidenheim is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Aue is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Heidenheim is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Heidenheim won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.