Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 26

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion an der Bremer Brück (Osnabrück)

Referee: Aarnink A. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Osnabrück		Oldenburg

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	6.5
	1.46	4.5	6
	1.45	4.5	5.4
	1.46	4.6	5.6
	1.47	5.01	6.33
	1.44	4	5.8
	1.45	4.6	5.95	Watch
	1.45	4.4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.56)	4.51 ↑ (3.95)	5.87 ↑ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osnabrück
63.6%

Draw
20.6%

Oldenburg
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

23.1%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

21.8%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Osnabrück's performance.

Oldenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Osnabrück - Oldenburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Osnabrück will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Oldenburg will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osnabrück: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Osnabrück is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Oldenburg has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Osnabrück is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Osnabrück to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Osnabrück won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Osnabrück
German 3 Bundesliga
04.03.23	Saarbrücken - Osnabrück	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Osnabrück - Wehen Wiesbaden	4:1 ✺
18.02.23	Osnabrück - Bayreuth	2:3 ✺
12.02.23	Ingolstadt - Osnabrück	1:4 ✺
04.02.23	Osnabrück - Erzgebirge Aue	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWLWW
- VfB Oldenburg
German 3 Bundesliga
05.03.23	Oldenburg - Duisburg	2:3 ✺
25.02.23	Verl - Oldenburg	2:1 ✺
20.02.23	Oldenburg - Hallescher	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Elversberg - Oldenburg	3:0 ✺
05.02.23	Oldenburg - 1860 München	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
03.09.22	Oldenburg - Osnabrück	4:3

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