Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 36

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni (Ospitaletto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Ospitaletto		AlbinoLeffe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	2.92	2.72	Watch
	2.57	2.98	2.86
	2.55	2.98	2.78	Watch
	2.5	2.75	2.75
	2.51	2.85	2.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.3)	2.9 ↓ (3.16)	2.77 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ospitaletto
35.7%

Draw
31.4%

AlbinoLeffe
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

29.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

29.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ospitaletto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

AlbinoLeffe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Ospitaletto - AlbinoLeffe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sonzogni L. (G) 16. Gualandris M. 33. Sina S. 4. Nessi R. 77. Casali M. 43. Guarneri M. 28. Panatti M. 10. Ievoli M. 7. Messaggi C. 21. Torri A. 99. Bertoli M.	12. Baldi G. (G) 33. Sciacca G. 4. Potop S. (C) 23. Sottini E. 2. Barba B. 18. Parlati S. 5. Mandelli A. 20. Ambrosini M. 3. Giannini E. 8. Lombardi A. 11. Sali G.
Substitutes
14. Contessi A. 75. Cortese S. (G) 9. Gobbi F. 23. Maffioletti L. 20. Maucci G. 26. Mondini G. 55. Mundi R. (G) 11. Pavanello A. 2. Regazzetti S. 13. Sinn L. 19. Tornaghi P.	21. Angeloni M. 27. Boloca G. 10. De Paoli A. 1. Di Chiara S. (G) 22. Facchetti L. (G) 32. Ferrarini G. 7. Garattoni A. 60. Simonelli T. 9. Sorrentino L. 51. Trapletti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Parlati S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', Guarneri M. 🟨,
55', 1 - 0, Nessi R. ⚽,
59', 2 - 0, Guarneri M. ⚽,
63', Guarneri M. ↓, Mondini G. ↑,
63', Torri A. ↓, Gobbi F. ↑,
64', Sottini E. ↓, De Paoli A. ↑,
64', Lombardi A. ↓, Sorrentino L. ↑,
64', Giannini E. ↓, Garattoni A. ↑,
71', Sciacca G. ↓, Boloca G. ↑,
79', Ievoli M. ↓, Regazzetti S. ↑,
81', 3 - 0, Gobbi F. ⚽,
83', Barba B. ↓, Ferrarini G. ↑,
90', Casali M. ↓, Contessi A. ↑,
90', Bertoli M. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,

Preview

In recent matches, Ospitaletto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

AlbinoLeffe is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ospitaletto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ospitaletto	8	4	3	1	14:6	8	15

Last Results with these Odds

Ospitaletto - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.01%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

AlbinoLeffe - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 30.88%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
06.04.26	Virtus Verona - Ospitaletto	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Ospitaletto - Giana Erminio	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	Brescia - Ospitaletto	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Ospitaletto - Trento	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Ospitaletto	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TWTWL
- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
06.04.26	AlbinoLeffe - Pergolettese	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Lumezzane - AlbinoLeffe	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Virtus Verona - AlbinoLeffe	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	AlbinoLeffe - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Inter U23 - AlbinoLeffe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
08.12.25	AlbinoLeffe - Ospitaletto	1:1

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