Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Tullio Saleri (Lumezzane)

Referee: Tassano F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Lumezzane		AlbinoLeffe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.30	3.10	2.75
	2.20	3.05	2.85	Watch
	2.61	3.20	2.82
	2.32	3.11	2.99	Watch
	2.45	3.15	2.75
	2.52	3.19	2.78	Watch
	2.33	3.15	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.76)	3.14 ↑ (3.13)	2.83 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lumezzane
38.3%

Draw
29.2%

AlbinoLeffe
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

29.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

28.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lumezzane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

AlbinoLeffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lumezzane that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AlbinoLeffe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lumezzane - AlbinoLeffe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Andrenacci L. (G) 21. Deratti J. 90. Nwachukwu S. J. 30. Boffelli A. 77. Diodato S. 19. Rolando M. 4. Paghera F. (C) 8. Rocca M. 17. Mancini S. 32. Anatriello G. 9. Ebone T.	12. Baldi G. (G) 16. Gusu M. 4. Potop S. (C) 23. Sottini E. 2. Barba B. 14. Sassi S. 5. Mandelli A. 17. Ciko S. 77. Ballo L. 11. Sali G. 70. Desogus J.
Substitutes
42. Baroncioni D. 12. Busi M. 5. D'Agostino S. 50. D'Angelo G. 1. Filigheddu S. (G) 6. Gauli N. 16. Ghidini C. 11. Ghillani A. 44. Menegazzo L. 10. Monachello G. 15. Ndiaye M. 27. Pavanati A. 72. Perina G.	19. Agostinelli M. 6. Boloca G. 71. Colombi A. 32. Faggi F. 21. Franchini F. 7. Garattoni A. 1. Generali F. (G) 8. Lombardi A. 22. Michielin M. (G) 18. Orfei A. 3. Sciacca G. 24. Simonelli T. 9. Stanzani L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Ebone T. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Desogus J. ⚽,
31', Diodato S. 🟨,
40', 2 - 1, Anatriello G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Barba B. ↓, Orfei A. ↑,
53', 2 - 2, Desogus J. ⚽, Sali G. (A),
56', Ebone T. 🟨,
57', Ballo L. 🟨,
59', 3 - 2, Rolando M. ⚽, Mancini S. (A),
61', Sassi S. ↓, Faggi F. ↑,
62', Ciko S. ↓, Lombardi A. ↑,
70', Paghera F. 🟨,
72', Paghera F. ↓, Menegazzo L. ↑,
72', Diodato S. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
80', Ebone T. ↓, Monachello G. ↑,
81', Menegazzo L. 🟨,
81', Ballo L. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
88', Anatriello G. ↓, Pavanati A. ↑,
88', Mandelli A. ↓, Simonelli T. ↑,
90+9', Sottini E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lumezzane won 3.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Lumezzane has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:15 (averaging 1.2:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lumezzane against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:5 goals (averaging 1.3:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Lumezzane	8	3	2	3	10:11	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Lumezzane - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.34%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

AlbinoLeffe - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.26%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lumezzane
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Inter Milan - Lumezzane	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
26.09.26	Lumezzane - Folgore Caratese	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Lumezzane	1:2 ✺
17.09.26	Lumezzane - Novara	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Lumezzane - Renate	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWTT
- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
03.10.26	Cittadella - AlbinoLeffe	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	AlbinoLeffe - Alcione	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Juventus U23 - AlbinoLeffe	3:5 ✺
17.09.26	AlbinoLeffe - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
28.03.26	Lumezzane - AlbinoLeffe	1:1
22.11.25	AlbinoLeffe - Lumezzane	0:1
23.03.25	AlbinoLeffe - Lumezzane	2:0
10.11.24	Lumezzane - AlbinoLeffe	1:0
28.04.24	AlbinoLeffe - Lumezzane	2:3
23.12.23	Lumezzane - AlbinoLeffe	3:1
Italian Serie C Group B
15.04.17	Lumezzane - AlbinoLeffe	1:1

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