Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 26

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Ernesto Breda (Sesto San Giovanni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Alcione		Ospitaletto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.98	Watch
	2.52	3.1	3.22
	2.36	2.96	3.08	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.8
	2.51	3.03	2.93	Watch
	2.42	2.9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.2)	2.98 ↓ (3.25)	3.02 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
38.3%

Draw
31%

Ospitaletto
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

28.2%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

27.2%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Alcione - Ospitaletto Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alcione will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Ospitaletto will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Agazzi F. (G) 25. Pirola F. 6. Ciappellano D. 65. Giorgeschi S. 7. Renault G. 8. Muroni M. 23. Galli G. 70. Bright K. 73. Scuderi G. 32. Tordini M. 9. Plescia V.	12. Sonzogni L. (G) 16. Gualandris M. 4. Nessi R. 6. Possenti M. 33. Sina S. 10. Ievoli M. 28. Panatti M. 7. Messaggi C. 20. Maucci G. 21. Torri A. 99. Bertoli M.
Substitutes
3. Chierichetti P. 81. Gallazzi F. 33. Invernizzi A. 16. Lanzi J. 18. Lopes E. 31. Marconi M. 5. Miculi A. 11. Morselli F. 21. Olivieri D. 10. Pitou J. 1. Raffaelli F. (G) 17. Rebaudo R.	77. Casali M. 75. Cortese S. (G) 27. De Matteis G. 9. Gobbi F. 43. Guarneri M. 23. Maffioletti L. 26. Mondini G. 55. Mundi 2. Scheffer M. 13. Sinn L. 19. Tornaghi P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Bright K. 🟨,
45', Giorgeschi S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Plescia V. ↓, Morselli F. ↑,
56', Tordini M. ↓, Pitou J. ↑,
57', Galli G. 🟨,
70', Maucci G. ↓, Gobbi F. ↑,
70', Torri A. ↓, Guarneri M. ↑,
78', Renault G. ↓, Lopes E. ↑,
78', Bright K. ↓, Invernizzi A. ↑,
80', Messaggi C. ↓, Maffioletti L. ↑,
87', Bertoli M. ↓, Mondini G. ↑,
90+1', Morselli F. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Recent performances by Alcione have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ospitaletto is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alcione may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alcione will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alcione won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ospitaletto	8	4	3	1	14:6	8	15
9	Alcione Milano	8	2	5	1	12:13	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
07.02.26	Alcione - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	Renate - Alcione	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Alcione - Dolomiti Bellunesi	5:0 ✺
17.01.26	Lumezzane - Alcione	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Alcione - Cittadella	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWLW
- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
08.02.26	Ospitaletto - Renate	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Ospitaletto - Lumezzane	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Pergolettese - Ospitaletto	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Ospitaletto - Triestina	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Vicenza Virtus - Ospitaletto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
29.09.25	Ospitaletto - Alcione	0:1

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