Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 22

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni (Ospitaletto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Max


	Ospitaletto		Triestina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3.25	3.25
	2.04	3.26	3.45	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3
	2.26	3.25	3.14	Watch
	2.16	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.34)	3.15 ↓ (3.28)	3.25 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ospitaletto
42.8%

Draw
29%

Triestina
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

28.1%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

27.7%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+4%)

Ospitaletto - Triestina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sonzogni L. (G) 2. Regazzetti S. 33. Sina S. 4. Nessi R. 13. Sinn L. 16. Gualandris M. 10. Ievoli M. 28. Panatti M. 7. Messaggi C. 9. Gobbi F. 99. Bertoli M.	1. Matosevic K. (G) 14. Anzolin M. 6. Moretti A. 23. Silvestri T. 21. Tonetto M. 28. Pedicillo L. 15. Voca I. 17. Jonsson K. 29. Kljajic N. 10. D'Urso C. 27. Faggioli A.
Substitutes
22. Bevilacqua A. (G) 77. Casali M. 75. Cortese S. (G) 43. Guarneri M. 23. Maffioletti L. 20. Maucci G. 26. Mondini G. 11. Pavanello A. 74. Pollio D. 17. Tunjov G.	8. Attys C. 22. Borriello F. (G) 26. D'Amore F. 34. D'Aniello R. 25. Ellertsson M. P. 11. Gunduz T. 36. Kamga A. S. 5. Kosijer S. 30. Neri F. (G) 3. Palma L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Messaggi C. ⚽,
38', Pedicillo L. 🟨,
45+1', D'Urso C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', D'Urso C. ↓, Gunduz T. ↑,
71', Messaggi C. ↓, Guarneri M. ↑,
71', Pedicillo L. ↓, D'Amore F. ↑,
76', Ievoli M. 🟨,
77', Ievoli M. ↓, Maffioletti L. ↑,
81', Kljajic N. ↓, Ellertsson M. P. ↑,
81', Tonetto M. ↓, Attys C. ↑,
83', Attys C. 🟨,
87', Regazzetti S. ↓, Casali M. ↑,
87', Bertoli M. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
90+1', Guarneri M. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Ospitaletto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Triestina has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ospitaletto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ospitaletto	8	4	3	1	14:6	8	15

Last Results with these Odds

Triestina - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.63%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
10.01.26	Vicenza Virtus - Ospitaletto	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Ospitaletto - Lecco	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Novara - Ospitaletto	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Ospitaletto - Pro Vercelli	2:0 ✺
08.12.25	AlbinoLeffe - Ospitaletto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTWWT
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
11.01.26	Lecco - Triestina	1:0 ✺
05.01.26	Triestina - Alcione	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Vicenza Virtus - Triestina	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Triestina - AlbinoLeffe	5:2 ✺
08.12.25	Giana Erminio - Triestina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
07.09.25	Triestina - Ospitaletto	1:1

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