Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 25

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: City Stadium (Ostrovets)


	Ostrovets		Dnyapro Mogilev

	1	X	2
	4.71	4.1	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 (4.71)	4.1 (4.1)	1.58 (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ostrovets
19.5%

Draw
22.4%

Dnyapro Mogilev
58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

21.4%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ostrovets have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Dnyapro Mogilev have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostrovets than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dnyapro Mogilev than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Kovruk M. (G) 11. Bara Y. 2. Dylevskiy A. 22. German D. 21. Isachenko E. 9. Khvostovich D. 18. Pilipenko M. 4. Shashko E. (C) 27. Tolkachev I. 15. Turovets D. 20. Zhernosek G.	12. Shapko D. (G) 31. Aldanov G. 20. Bordukov P. (C) 23. Dunaev A. 11. Fedosov V. 29. Kabyshev A. 91. Miroevskiy A. 34. Petrenko A. 8. Usanov A. 21. Vershinin G. 77. Zheleznikov G.
Substitutes
1. Ginko A. (G) 29. Kalinovskiy M. 44. Kondratovich Z. 10. Semenov E. 19. Shedko E. 99. Yukhnovich V. (G)	10. Gurbanov M. 33. Kapov K. 13. Lastochkin A. 93. Markov P. 89. Sedzich P. 7. Stepanenko V. 66. Tarasenko V. 35. Veydyger K. (G) 88. Yurkevich F. 71. Zhabrakov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Usanov A. ⚽, Petrenko A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Bara Y. ⚽, Tolkachev I. (A),
75', 1 - 2, Fedosov V. (Pen),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga).

In recent matches, Ostrovets has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dnyapro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dnyapro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Dnyapro is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ostrovets won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ostrovets won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ostrovets
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
30.08.25	Belshina - Ostrovets	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Ostrovets - Slonim	3:0 ✺
15.08.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Ostrovets	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Ostrovets - Lida	1:3 ✺
03.08.25	Minsk 2 - Ostrovets	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLLL
- Dnyapro Mogilev
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
13.09.25	Dnyapro Mogilev - Volna Pinsk	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Dnyapro Mogilev - Baranovichi	0:3 ✺
22.08.25	Belarus U19 - Dnyapro Mogilev	3:4 ✺
16.08.25	Dnyapro Mogilev - Uni X Labs Minsk	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Osipovichi - Dnyapro Mogilev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
03.11.23	Ostrovets - Dnyapro Mogilev	0:0
01.07.23	Dnyapro Mogilev - Ostrovets	2:2

Upcoming Matches