Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday


	Ourense CF		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.37	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.35
	3.1	2.85	2.45
	2.95	3.1	2.38
	3.09	2.77	2.46
	3	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.95	3.18	2.4	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.23)	3.05 ↓ (3.18)	2.41 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
31%

Draw
30.5%

Alcorcón
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

29%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

27.7%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcorcón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	30%	60%

Ourense CF - Alcorcón Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ourense CF will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Alcorcón will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcorcón: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Alcorcón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.11.22	Ourense CF - Coruxo	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Polvorín - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Ourense CF - Guijuelo	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	Zamora - Ourense CF	2:3 ✺
08.10.22	Ourense CF - Langreo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTWWW
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.11.22	Talavera de la Reina - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
30.10.22	Alcorcón - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Ceuta - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
16.10.22	Alcorcón - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
08.10.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWL

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