Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 18

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday


	Covadonga		Arandina

	1	X	2
	2.87	3	2.25
	3	3.1	2.35	Watch
	3.05	3	2.44
	3.05	2.94	2.44
	2.25	2.88	3
	3.07	2.99	2.31
	3.05	3	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.16)	2.99 ↓ (3)	2.44 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covadonga
31.6%

Draw
30.7%

Arandina
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

29.9%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

28.2%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Covadonga's form might have worsened.

Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arandina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Covadonga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arandina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Covadonga - Arandina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Arandina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Arandina have a series of home games.

Arandina will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Covadonga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Covadonga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.01.24	Covadonga - Marino de Luanco	1:1 ✺
17.12.23	Rayo Cantabria - Covadonga	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Covadonga - Real Avilés	0:3 ✺
02.12.23	Real Oviedo B - Covadonga	5:0 ✺
26.11.23	Covadonga - Pontevedra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 TTLLW
- Arandina CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.01.24	Arandina - Zamora	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.24	Arandina - Real Madrid	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.12.23	Marino de Luanco - Arandina	3:1 ✺
10.12.23	Arandina - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Arandina - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.09.23	Arandina - Covadonga	2:1

Covadonga - Arandina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide