Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de O Couto (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2


	Ourense CF		Arenteiro

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.5
	2.15	3	3.4
	2.15	2.93	3.6
	2.12	3.18	3.53	Watch
	2.15	2.75	3.3
	2.12	2.88	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.21)	2.94 ↓ (3.03)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
42.8%

Draw
31%

Arenteiro
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

30.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

29.5%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Arenteiro aligns with the current prediction.

Ourense CF - Arenteiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raton A. (G) 2. Coto E. 4. Carmona F. 12. Jelbat A. 3. Sanz H. (C) 21. Guerrero A. 24. Moreno C. 8. Ramos J. 17. Hernandez R. 18. Rabadan D. 10. Ochoa M.	1. Alvin (G) 22. Sanchez J. (C) 3. Lohr L. 4. Falcon E. 16. Lasure D. 11. Cuellar J. 25. Bastida A. 6. Val B. 7. Ferreiro D. 21. Lopez A. 18. Mingo V.
Substitutes
11. Aranzabe A. 7. Bouzaig A. 20. Gueye L. 16. Munoz D. 14. Perez A. 5. Prado M. 23. Punzano I. 15. Rivas L. 13. Sanchez Vivas A. (G) 9. Sergio Benito 22. Yuste A.	10. Chuca 13. Garcia D. (G) 8. Gonzalez D. 23. Kandoussi B. 17. Molina A. 15. Moreno D. 2. Moya P. 9. Ramon N. 14. Safrai

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Sanchez J. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Jelbat A. ⚽,
40', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Cuellar J. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
60', Lasure D. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
63', Rabadan D. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, ⚽,
83', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ourense CF won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Ourense CF will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ourense CF won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ourense CF won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.5:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.02.26	CD Guadalajara - Ourense CF	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Ourense CF - Mérida AD	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Ourense CF	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Ourense CF - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLL
- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.02.26	Arenteiro - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Talavera de la Reina - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Arenteiro - Real Avilés	6:3 ✺
30.01.26	Arenteiro - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Ferrol - Arenteiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.11.25	Arenteiro - Ourense CF	0:2
13.04.25	Arenteiro - Ourense CF	1:1
20.10.24	Ourense CF - Arenteiro	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.04.23	Ourense CF - Arenteiro	1:1
04.12.22	Arenteiro - Ourense CF	1:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
20.02.21	Ourense CF - Arenteiro	0:2
14.12.19	Ourense CF - Arenteiro	1:1

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