Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Reina Sofia (Salamanca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Unionistas de Salamanca		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.9	3.6
	1.95	3	3.7
	2.05	3	3.65
	2.13	2.99	3.9
	2.11	2.93	3.92	Watch
	2.05	2.75	3.5
	2.06	2.84	3.83
	2	2.9	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 (2.05)	2.91 ↓ (3.23)	3.73 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unionistas de Salamanca
44.4%

Draw
31.2%

Ourense CF
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

28.7%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

28.4%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unionistas de Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Unionistas de Salamanca - Ourense CF Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G) 3. Gorjon A. 5. Farru 16. Murria V. 17. Errahaly M. 11. Gomez A. (C) 8. Lopez J. 15. Chibozo A. 6. Juanje 23. Pinan A. 21. Marco P.	1. Raton A. (G) 2. Coto E. 5. Prado M. 12. Jelbat A. 3. Sanz H. (C) 21. Guerrero A. 24. Moreno C. 18. Rabadan D. 8. Ramos J. 17. Hernandez R. 9. Sergio Benito
Substitutes
12. Artola J. 7. Arvelo A. 18. de Bustos H. 10. de la Nava C. 22. Lendinez J. 1. Marino U. (G) 24. Masllorens J. 19. Prada R. 9. Serpeta	11. Aranzabe A. 4. Carmona F. 20. Gueye L. 16. Munoz D. 10. Ochoa M. 14. Perez A. 23. Punzano I. 15. Rivas L. 13. Sanchez Vivas A. (G) 22. Yuste A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Gomez A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lopez J. ↓, Lendinez J. ↑,
54', Marco P. ↓, de la Nava C. ↑,
54', Chibozo A. ↓, Serpeta ↑,
57', Rabadan D. ↓, Rivas L. ↑,
69', 🟨,
69', Pinan A. ↓, Masllorens J. ↑,
74', Guerrero A. ↓, Punzano I. ↑,
74', Sergio Benito ↓, Ochoa M. ↑,
83', Moreno C. ↓, Yuste A. ↑,
86', Gomez A. ↓, Artola J. ↑,
86', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', Farru 🟨,
90+6', Juanje 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 15).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Unionistas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Unionistas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 2.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Unionistas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Unionistas	6	2	0	4	9:12	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.01.26	Celta de Vigo B - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Talavera de la Reina	5:1 ✺
18.01.26	Lugo - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Zamora	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Barakaldo - Unionistas de Salamanca	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWWTL
- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.02.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Ourense CF - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Ourense CF - Osasuna B	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Ponferradina - Ourense CF	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Ourense CF - Real Avilés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.11.25	Ourense CF - Unionistas de Salamanca	4:3
14.02.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Ourense CF	2:1
05.10.24	Ourense CF - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:2

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