Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadi Nacional (Andorra la Vella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	FC Andorra		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.3	6.5
	1.55	3.6	5.25
	1.57	3.35	5.6
	1.59	3.7	5.93
	1.57	3.56	5.95	Watch
	1.61	3.38	6.64
	1.57	3.35	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.63)	3.46 ↑ (3.06)	5.92 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Andorra
58.1%

Draw
26.4%

Ourense CF
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

29%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

27.4%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Andorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Andorra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

FC Andorra - Ourense CF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ratti N. (G) 17. Clemente J. 18. Bombardo Poyato M. 4. Trigueros P. 27. Rodriguez I. 10. Alvaro 14. Molina S. 15. Redondo L. 3. Busquets O. 21. Cerda J. 11. Lauti	1. Marqueta R. (G) 2. Andrada F. 4. Carmona F. 15. Zalaya A. 3. Sanz H. 10. Gil A. 8. Ramos J. 22. Noriega J. 23. Fullana F. 20. Sanchez A. 7. Carbonell J.
Substitutes
26. Achhiba B. 23. Alende D. 19. Almpanis C. 24. Casadesus P. 7. Fuentes J. 12. Ndiaye Dione A. 9. Nieto M. 13. Oier (G)	9. Di Renzo G. 11. Gil A. 13. Guillen P. (G) 16. Juanma Bravo 17. Prada R. 5. Prado M. 21. Raigal J. 19. Rodriguez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Lauti 🟨,
64', Busquets O. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
64', Noriega J. ↓, Raigal J. ↑,
71', Gil A. ↓,
71', Carbonell J. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
75', Ramos J. 🟨,
83', Sanchez A. ↓, Juanma Bravo ↑,
87', Clemente J. ↓, Nieto M. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Andorra is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ourense CF is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ourense CF could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ourense CF have a series of home games.

In this match Andorra is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Andorra won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Andorra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.01.25	Ponferradina - FC Andorra	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	FC Andorra - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2 ✺
10.01.25	Arenteiro - FC Andorra	3:0 ✺
22.12.24	FC Andorra - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
15.12.24	Celta de Vigo B - FC Andorra	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL
- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.01.25	Ourense CF - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Barakaldo - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
14.01.25	Ourense CF - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.01.25	Ourense CF - Lugo	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.25	Ourense CF - Valladolid	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.11.24	Ourense CF - FC Andorra	0:0

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