Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de O Couto (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ourense CF		Unionistas de Salamanca

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3.2
	2.25	2.92	3.25
	2.41	2.83	3.31
	2.43	2.89	3.17	Watch
	2.31	2.82	3.21
	2.3	2.8	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.43)	2.86 ↓ (2.89)	3.21 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
39.4%

Draw
32%

Unionistas de Salamanca
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

32.2%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

31.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Unionistas de Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Unionistas de Salamanca aligns with the current prediction.

Ourense CF - Unionistas de Salamanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raton A. (G) 2. Coto E. 4. Carmona F. (C) 12. Jelbat A. 3. Sanz H. 21. Guerrero A. 8. Ramos J. 24. Moreno C. 17. Ouhdadi O. 6. Castillo N. 15. Piera J.	1. Marino U. (G) 2. Olmedo V. 3. Gorjon A. 5. Farru 20. Encuentra J. 24. Abde 22. Lendinez J. 14. Roldan L. 11. Gomez A. (C) 23. Pinan A. 15. Valles G.
Substitutes
11. Aranzabe A. 10. Camus M. 19. Garcia D. 20. Gueye L. 16. Munoz D. 14. Perez A. 23. Punzano I. 13. Sanchez Vivas A. (G) 9. Vazquez K. 22. Yuste A.	9. Alex Pachon 10. de la Nava C. 8. Lopez J. 7. Moreno I. 12. Santiago A. 13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 3)
49', 🟨,
49', 1 - 0, Piera J. ⚽,
54', 1 - 1, Gomez A. ⚽,
70', 🟨,
71', 1 - 2, de la Nava C. ⚽,
80', 🟨,
86', Encuentra J. 🟥,
86', 🟨,
89', 2 - 2, Vazquez K. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+10', 3 - 3, Santiago A. (Own goal),
90+12', 4 - 3, Guerrero A. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 9).

Ourense CF has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Unionistas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ourense CF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ourense CF won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Ourense CF won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Unionistas de Salamanca - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 29.4%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.11.25	Arenteiro - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Ourense CF - CD Guadalajara	3:0 ✺
12.11.25	Zamora - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
08.11.25	Ourense CF - Orihuela	3:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.11.25	Ourense CF - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWTWW
- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.11.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Madrid Castilla	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Talavera de la Reina - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Pontevedra	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Lugo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.02.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Ourense CF	2:1
05.10.24	Ourense CF - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:2

Upcoming Matches