Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 13

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Oxford City		Altrincham

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.75	1.91	Watch
	3.2	3.5	1.9
	3.5	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.57	3.91	1.96
	2.9	3.5	2.15
	3.48	3.65	1.92
	3.35	3.7	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.68)	3.68 ↑ (3.48)	1.96 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
27.7%

Draw
25.1%

Altrincham
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

26.4%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

26.5%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oxford City's form might have worsened.

Altrincham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Altrincham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oxford City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Altrincham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Oxford City - Altrincham Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Oxford City will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Altrincham will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Haigh Ch. (G) 2. Burley A. 19. Carroll C. 7. Coyle L. 8. Fleet R. (C) 6. Harrison T. 5. Kirby N. 10. McEachran Z. 22. Moore T. 14. Parker J. 15. Smith R.	29. Ross E. (G) 11. Amaluzor J. 14. Angus D. 4. Baines L. 10. Conn-Clarke C. 15. Cooper J. 17. Donawa J. 3. Jones E. 8. Marriott I. (C) 30. Newby A. 6. Osborne E.
Substitutes
17. Fonkeu P. 20. Humphrey-Ewers L. 9. Sanderson O. 18. William-Bushell A. 21. Wilson J.	2. Banks L. 18. German O. 5. Jones J. 20. Jones T. 16. Roscoe S.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 4 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Altrincham will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford City won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League
26.09.23	Oxford City - Gateshead	0:4 ✺
23.09.23	Oldham Athletic - Oxford City	4:0 ✺
19.09.23	Eastleigh - Oxford City	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Oxford City - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Oxford City - Hartlepool United	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLTTW
- Altrincham
English National League
26.09.23	Maidenhead United - Altrincham	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Altrincham - Ebbsfleet United	6:1 ✺
19.09.23	Altrincham - Hartlepool United	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Wealdstone - Altrincham	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Barnet - Altrincham	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
15.04.14	Oxford City - Altrincham	1:2
14.09.13	Altrincham - Oxford City	2:2
02.03.13	Altrincham - Oxford City	3:1
08.09.12	Oxford City - Altrincham	2:2

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