Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 46

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	1.87
	3.75	3.55	1.78
	3.75	3.69	1.91
	3.68	3.72	1.87
	3.35	3.5	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (4.04)	3.59 ↓ (3.6)	1.87 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
25.7%

Draw
25.5%

Oxford City
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

25.5%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

25.5%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Bath City - Oxford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bath won 0.

Recent matches Bath is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oxford City is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oxford City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Oxford City will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Bath won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Bath won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
25.04.23	Hungerford Town - Bath City	1:2 ✺
22.04.23	Cheshunt - Bath City	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Bath City - Concord Rangers	4:0 ✺
10.04.23	Weymouth - Bath City	1:0 ✺
07.04.23	Bath City - Taunton Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLL
- Oxford City
English National League South
22.04.23	Oxford City - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
15.04.23	Dover Athletic - Oxford City	1:5 ✺
10.04.23	Oxford City - Chelmsford City	3:1 ✺
07.04.23	Ebbsfleet United - Oxford City	3:0 ✺
01.04.23	Oxford City - Tonbridge Angels	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
24.09.22	Oxford City - Bath City	3:3
07.05.22	Bath City - Oxford City	3:3
30.08.21	Oxford City - Bath City	5:1
06.10.20	Oxford City - Bath City	2:0
26.08.19	Bath City - Oxford City	1:2
22.04.19	Bath City - Oxford City	1:0
15.09.18	Oxford City - Bath City	1:2

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