Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 44

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday


	Dover Athletic		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.07
	3.32	3.44	2.12
	3.28	3.52	2.06
	3.3	3.35	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	3.38 ↑ (3.34)	2.07 (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
28.1%

Draw
27.3%

Oxford City
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

27.3%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

26.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Dover Athletic - Oxford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 18 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Dover is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oxford City is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oxford City will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dover won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Dover won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English National League South
10.04.23	Dartford - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
07.04.23	Dover Athletic - Welling United	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	Braintree Town - Dover Athletic	1:3 ✺
25.03.23	St Albans City - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Dover Athletic - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWLL
- Oxford City
English National League South
10.04.23	Oxford City - Chelmsford City	3:1 ✺
07.04.23	Ebbsfleet United - Oxford City	3:0 ✺
01.04.23	Oxford City - Tonbridge Angels	4:0 ✺
25.03.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Oxford City	2:2 ✺
18.03.23	Oxford City - Cheshunt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
15.11.22	Oxford City - Dover Athletic	3:1
English FA Cup
26.10.13	Dover Athletic - Oxford City	3:0

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