Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 18

Date: 16 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Oakwell (Barnsley)

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)


	Barnsley		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.5
	1.49	4.4	6
	1.5	4.5	6	Watch
	1.48	4.82	6.41
	1.49	4.62	6.59
	1.44	4.4	6.5
	1.49	4.5	6.3	Watch
	1.49	4.4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.61)	4.5 ↑ (3.81)	6.29 ↑ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
63.8%

Draw
21.1%

Carlisle United
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

24.5%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

23.9%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnsley's performance.

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
97%	3%	0%

Barnsley - Carlisle United Predictions

Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (32 of 33 users predict this - 96.97%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roberts L. (G) 2. Williams J. (C) 6. Durand de Gevigney M. 41. Shepherd J. 48. Connell L. 22. O'Keeffe C. 30. Phillips A. 8. Kane H. 20. Styles C. 45. McAtee J. 44. Cole D.	40. Lewis H. (G) 5. Lavelle S. 6. Huntington P. (C) 22. Mellish J. 18. Ellis J. 10. McCalmont A. 4. Moxon O. 33. Neal H. 3. Armer J. 11. Butterworth D. 35. Armstrong L.
Substitutes
7. Cadden N. 9. Cosgrove S. 17. Cotter B. 23. Killip B. (G) 4. Lopata K. 3. Russell J. 36. Watters M.	2. Back F. 13. Breeze G. (G) 15. Charters T. 14. Garner J. 7. Gibson J. 34. Grehan S. 24. Maguire S.
Coaches
Collins N.	Simpson P.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Carlisle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Barnsley is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League One
13.01.24	Barnsley - Bristol Rovers	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Barnsley - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
29.12.23	Peterborough United - Barnsley	2:2 ✺
26.12.23	Port Vale - Barnsley	2:3 ✺
23.12.23	Barnsley - Stevenage Borough	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTTWW
- Carlisle United
English League One
13.01.24	Carlisle United - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
06.01.24	Exeter City - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Carlisle United - Port Vale	2:1 ✺
29.12.23	Wigan Athletic - Carlisle United	2:0 ✺
26.12.23	Fleetwood Town - Carlisle United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
13.08.19	Barnsley - Carlisle United	0:3

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