Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 20

Date: 28 November 2023, Tuesday


	Oxford United		Bolton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.6
	2.6	3.4	2.5
	2.65	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.73	3.5	2.62
	2.73	3.5	2.62
	2.6	3.4	2.45
	2.66	3.45	2.52	Watch
	2.5	3.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.32)	3.45 ↓ (3.5)	2.56 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford United
35.8%

Draw
27.4%

Bolton Wanderers
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

27.9%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oxford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	25%	33.3%

Oxford United - Bolton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Bolton will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beadle J. (G) 15. Stevens F. 5. Moore E. 4. Thorniley J. 3. Brown C. 18. McGuane M. 8. Brannagan C. 7. Mills S. 10. Bodin B. 29. Edwards K. 9. Harris M.	1. Baxter N. (G) 2. Jones G. 5. Santos R. (C) 18. Toal E. 8. Sheehan J. 12. Cogley J. 4. Thomason G. 19. Maghoma P. 3. Iredale J. 10. Charles D. 14. Adeboyejo V.
Substitutes
13. Eastwood S. (G) 19. Goodrham T. 25. Gorrin A. 6. McEachran J. 23. Murphy J. 28. Negru S. 39. O'Donkor G.	9. Bodvarsson J. 13. Coleman J. (G) 22. Dempsey K. 15. Forrester W. 7. Mendes Gomes C. 16. Morley A. 11. N'Lundulu D.
Coaches
Buckingham D.	Evatt I.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford won 1.

Oxford is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bolton in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Oxford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Oxford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English League One
25.11.23	Cheltenham Town - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Leyton Orient - Oxford United	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Oxford United - Chelsea U21	5:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Oxford United - Maidenhead United	2:0 ✺
English League One
31.10.23	Lincoln City - Oxford United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWW
- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
25.11.23	Bolton Wanderers - Exeter City	7:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.11.23	Stockport County - Bolton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
English League One
11.11.23	Bolton Wanderers - Blackpool	1:0 ✺
07.11.23	Shrewsbury Town - Bolton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Bolton Wanderers - Solihull Moors	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
15.04.23	Oxford United - Bolton Wanderers	0:1
29.10.22	Bolton Wanderers - Oxford United	1:3
12.02.22	Oxford United - Bolton Wanderers	2:3
21.08.21	Bolton Wanderers - Oxford United	2:1
17.09.19	Bolton Wanderers - Oxford United	0:0
21.03.17	Oxford United - Bolton Wanderers	2:4
01.10.16	Bolton Wanderers - Oxford United	0:2

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