The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oxford United 58.8%
Draw 24%
Gillingham 17.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.9%
27.8%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.6%
18.8%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oxford United's performance.
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gillingham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-27.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oxford United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+20.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gillingham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Oxford United - Gillingham Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Oxford has the most likely position - 3 (7.12%), has project points - 70, has currently - 11, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (27%), has a chance of promoted (19%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
Gillingham has the most likely position - 22 (6.5%), has project points - 56, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (24%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Oxford is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Gillingham is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Oxford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Oxford is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Oxford won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-2.
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