Match Info

League Two - Round 26

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham)


	Gillingham		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.96
	3.55	3.35	2.02
	3.76	3.43	2.05
	3.26	3.23	2.21	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.05
	3.59	3.34	2.02
	2.95	3.15	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.95)	3.27 ↑ (3.15)	2.09 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
26.9%

Draw
28.5%

Milton Keynes Dons
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

29.1%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

28.1%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). MK Dons will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 50%). MK Dons (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Turner J. (G) 2. Hutton R. 5. Smith A. 22. Ogie S. 3. Clark M. (C) 10. Williams J. 21. Williams E. 6. Coleman E. 12. Palmer-Houlden S. 11. Rowe A. 38. Hale R.	1. MacGillivray C. (G) 32. Sanders J. 21. Ekpiteta M. 15. Offord L. 2. Jones G. 7. Crowley D. 6. Kelly L. 22. Mellish J. 26. Wiles B. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 10. Collins A.
Substitutes
15. Akomeah T. 32. Cirino L. 35. Dayal L. 27. Khumbeni N. 40. Luxton M. 1. Morris G. (G) 19. Vokes S.	46. Burke J. 9. Hogan S. 17. Leko J. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 16. Nemane A. 14. Tomlinson J. 27. Trueman C. (G)
Coaches
Ainsworth G.	Warne P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
15', 0 - 1, Gilbey A. ⚽, Collins A. (A),
23', Crowley D. 🟨,
26', 0 - 2, Jones G. ⚽, Wiles B. (A),
33', 0 - 3, Ekpiteta M. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
44', Hale R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Crowley D. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
51', 0 - 4, Wiles B. ⚽,
55', Hale R. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
55', Hutton R. ↓, Akomeah T. ↑,
60', Rowe A. 🟨,
62', Collins A. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
69', Clark M. ↓, Khumbeni N. ↑,
69', Williams E. ↓, Cirino L. ↑,
76', Coleman E. ↓, Luxton M. ↑,
77', 1 - 4, Palmer-Houlden S. ⚽,
79', Offord L. ↓, Tomlinson J. ↑,
87', 1 - 5, Kelly L. ⚽, Lemonheigh-Evans C. (A),
90', Wiles B. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
90', Jones G. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
90+5', Cirino L. 🟨,

Preview

Postponed due to FA Cup.

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 3.

Gillingham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

MK Dons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Gillingham: Khumbeni N. (Inactive) McCleary G. (Inactive) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury) Wyllie M. (Inactive)

There will not play in MK Dons: Collar W. (Inactive) Ekpiteta M. (Inactive) Gilbey A. (Inactive) Maguire L. (Inactive) Mendez-Laing N. (Inactive) Tomlinson J. (Inactive) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 2.1:1.6).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Gillingham: 2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Gillingham	10	4	4	2	15:10	5	16

Last Results with these Odds

Milton Keynes Dons - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.84%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League Two
07.03.26	Gillingham - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Barrow - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Gillingham - Oldham Athletic	0:3 ✺
17.02.26	Chesterfield - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Crewe Alexandra - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWLLL
- Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two
07.03.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Harrogate Town	4:1 ✺
28.02.26	Cambridge United - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
23.02.26	Walsall - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
04.10.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham	3:2
12.04.25	Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0
14.12.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham	0:1
27.01.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham	2:1
07.10.23	Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons	2:1
English League One
01.01.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham	0:0
18.09.21	Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons	1:4

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