Match Info

Championship - Round 21

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Kassam Stadium (Oxford)

Referee: Linington J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Oxford United		Preston North End

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.57	Watch
	2.71	3.25	2.66	Watch
	2.74	3.35	2.7
	2.57	3.32	2.76	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.63
	2.59	3.22	2.67	Watch
	2.66	3.33	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.51)	3.27 ↓ (3.31)	2.66 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford United
35.6%

Draw
28.9%

Preston North End
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

28.6%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

30.1%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Preston North End has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Oxford United - Preston North End Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Preston will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Preston: 13.8% – 61.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Preston (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cumming J. (G) 24. ter Avest H. 6. Helik M. 29. Davies B. 3. Brown C. 22. Leigh G. 14. De Keersmaecker B. 4. Vaulks W. 16. Prelec N. 27. Lankshear W. 11. ter Haar Romeny O.	1. Iversen D. (G) 14. Storey J. 2. Valentin P. 16. Hughes A. 42. Offiah O. 5. Armstrong H. 21. Devine A. 26. Small T. 4. Whiteman B. (C) 17. Dobbin L. 9. Jebbison D.
Substitutes
20. Bradshaw T. 26. Currie J. 19. Goodrham T. 12. Harris L. 9. Harris M. 21. Ingram M. (G) 50. Krastev F. 2. Long S. 17. Mills S.	10. Frokjaer-Jensen M. 7. Keane W. 36. Nolan E. 44. Potts B. 24. Smith M. 15. Thompson J. 22. Thordarson S. T. 3. Vukcevic A. 12. Walton J. (G)
Coaches
Rowett G.	Heckingbottom P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Storey J. ⚽, Small T. (A),
43', Vaulks W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', ter Avest H. ↓, Mills S. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Jebbison D. ⚽, Devine A. (A),
53', 1 - 2, De Keersmaecker B. ⚽, Prelec N. (A),
64', ter Haar Romeny O. ↓, Goodrham T. ↑,
68', Dobbin L. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
68', Devine A. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
68', Small T. ↓, Vukcevic A. ↑,
77', Prelec N. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
77', Lankshear W. ↓, Bradshaw T. ↑,
78', Jebbison D. ↓, Frokjaer-Jensen M. ↑,
78', Jebbison D. 🟨,
85', Armstrong H. ↓, Thordarson S. T. ↑,
89', Leigh G. ↓, Currie J. ↑,
90', Whiteman B. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Preston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Oxford: Brannagan C. (Injury) Phillips M. (Thigh Injury) Spencer B. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Preston: Brady R. (Calf Injury) Carroll T. (Inactive) Gibson L. (Injury) Lewis J. (Injury) Lindsay L. (Red Card) McCann A. (Broken Hand) Osmajic M. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Oxford: Placheta P. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Oxford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Oxford United - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.67%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Preston North End - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.77%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English League Championship
09.12.25	Blackburn Rovers - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Swansea City - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Oxford United - Ipswich Town	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Norwich City - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Oxford United - Middlesbrough	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 TLWTT
- Preston North End
English League Championship
09.12.25	Preston North End - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Preston North End - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Preston North End	2:3 ✺
25.11.25	Watford - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
21.11.25	Preston North End - Blackburn Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
04.01.25	Preston North End - Oxford United	1:1
31.08.24	Oxford United - Preston North End	3:1

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