Match Info

Date: 12 September 2020, Saturday


	Pärnu Vaprus		Elva

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	4.5
	1.52	4.2	4.7
	1.5	4.54	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 (1.51)	4.41 ↓ (4.5)	4.57 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pärnu Vaprus
59.8%

Draw
20.4%

Elva
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

20%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

16.3%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Elva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pärnu Vaprus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elva than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Pärnu Vaprus - Elva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Pärnu Vaprus in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Elva is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pärnu Vaprus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pärnu Vaprus is a favorite.

Recent matches Elva is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Last 6 head-to-head matches Pärnu Vaprus won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Pärnu Vaprus won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pärnu JK Vaprus
Estonian Esiliiga
23.08.20	Nõmme United - Pärnu Vaprus	0:3 ✺
20.08.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Elva	2:1 ✺
15.08.20	Vändra Vaprus - Pärnu Vaprus	2:3 ✺
06.08.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Nõmme United	1:0 ✺
Estonian Cup
02.08.20	Viimsi Lõvid - Pärnu Vaprus	0:4
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWW
- FC Elva
Estonian Esiliiga
12.09.20	Vändra Vaprus - Elva	Canceled ✺
29.08.20	Elva - Nõmme United	4:1 ✺
24.08.20	Elva - Levadia Tallinn U21	2:0 ✺
20.08.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Elva	2:1 ✺
15.08.20	Flora U21 - Elva	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 ?WWLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
20.08.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Elva	2:1
05.03.20	Elva - Pärnu Vaprus	2:2
19.09.19	Pärnu Vaprus - Elva	0:1
27.07.19	Elva - Pärnu Vaprus	2:0
27.06.19	Pärnu Vaprus - Elva	2:1
20.04.19	Elva - Pärnu Vaprus	3:2

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