Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1, New World TV
Germany	RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Iceland	SÝN Sport
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 9, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	VIX App


	PAOK		Maccabi Tel Aviv

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.4
	1.95	3.6	4
	2.13	3.47	3.67
	1.65	4.03	4.87	Watch
	1.93	3.61	4.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.65)	3.64 ↓ (4.03)	4 ↓ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
49.5%

Draw
26.4%

Maccabi Tel Aviv
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

23.4%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

22.9%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PAOK's form might have worsened.

Maccabi Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PAOK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

PAOK - Maccabi Tel Aviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 31 - 73.8%). Maccabi Tel Aviv will win (votes: 4 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 60.5% – 87.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - PAOK (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Maccabi Tel Aviv (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): PAOK will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. PAOK (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Maccabi Tel Aviv (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pavlenka J. (G) 3. Kenny J. 16. Kedziora T. 5. Michailidis G. 21. Baba A. R. 27. Ozdoev M. 8. Meite S. 14. Zivkovic A. (C) 65. Konstantelias G. 11. Taison 7. Giakoumakis G.	90. Mishpati R. (G) 6. Asante T. 13. Shlomo R. 5. Camara M. 3. Revivo R. 17. Belic K. 42. Peretz D. (C) 28. Sissokho I. 77. Davida O. 11. Jehezkel S. 10. Andrade K.
Substitutes
22. Bianco A. 2. Camara M. 9. Chalov F. 52. Chatsidis D. 77. Despodov K. 18. Ivanusec L. 6. Lovren D. 41. Monastirlis D. (G) 23. Sastre J. 32. Taylor G. 99. Tsiftsis A. (G) 4. Vogliacco A.	34. Abu Farhi S. 21. Ben Harush N. 1. Gerafi Y. (G) 14. Gropper D. 4. Heitor 23. Lederman B. 19. Madmon E. 15. Malede Y. 22. Melika O. (G) 30. Noy I. 36. Shahar I. 29. Varela H.
Coaches
Lucescu R.	Lazetic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Kenny J. 🟨,
37', Sissokho I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Camara M. 🟨,
66', Taison ↓, Despodov K. ↑,
66', Ozdoev M. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
72', Giakoumakis G. ↓, Chalov F. ↑,
73', Sissokho I. ↓, Noy I. ↑,
73', Davida O. ↓, Varela H. ↑,
86', Konstantelias G. ↓, Ivanusec L. ↑,
89', Jehezkel S. ↓, Madmon E. ↑,
90+2', Andrade K. ↓, Shahar I. ↑,
90+3', Belic K. 🟨,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

PAOK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, PAOK is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in PAOK: Balde M. (Inactive) Berdos D. (Inactive) Gugeshashvili L. (Inactive) Murg T. (Inactive) Pelkas D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Maccabi Tel Aviv: Azo O. N. (Inactive) Melika O. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, PAOK won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
20.09.25	PAOK - Panetolikos	0:0 ✺
Greek Cup
17.09.25	Levadiakos - PAOK	4:1 ✺
Greek Super League
14.09.25	OFI - PAOK	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	PAOK - Atromitos Athens	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.08.25	PAOK - Rijeka	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWWW
- Maccabi Tel Aviv
Israeli Ligat haAl
20.09.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Jerusalem	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:4 ✺
13.09.25	Ironi Tiberias - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:4 ✺
31.08.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Maccabi Netanya	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.08.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
22.08.13	Maccabi Tel Aviv - PAOK	Canceled

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