Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 34

Date: 30 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Gelora BJ Habibie (Parepare City)

Referee: Nurcahya B. Y. (Ina)


	PSM Makassar		RANS Nusantara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.1
	1.83	3.75	3.5	Watch
	2	4.1	3.01
	1.87	4.24	3.1
	2.05	3.6	2.9
	1.93	3.97	3.34	Watch
	1.87	4.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.68)	3.94 ↓ (3.99)	3.16 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSM Makassar
47.7%

Draw
23.3%

RANS Nusantara
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

22.8%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

18.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSM Makassar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PSM Makassar's form might have worsened.

RANS Nusantara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RANS Nusantara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSM Makassar than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RANS Nusantara than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	30.8%	38.5%

PSM Makassar - RANS Nusantara Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Makassar will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). RANS Nusantara will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RANS Nusantara: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Pratama R. (G) 4. Fernandes Y. 27. Tahar S. 68. Salman D. 45. Tanjung A. 8. Raehan A. 22. Sayuri Y. (C) 23. Sayuri Y. 15. Pratama R. 20. Silva A. 88. Mansaray V.	97. Syah H. (G) 23. Hamzah H. (C) 26. Kiko 22. Merauje M. 45. Hidayat T. 17. Sitanggang P. 36. Syah I. 7. Tavinho 11. Rahaman A. 66. Maruoka M. 10. Brandao E.
Substitutes
1. Ardiansyah M. (G) 48. Arfan M. 17. Bakri R. 7. Dethan V. 18. Harjito A. 71. Hidayat M. 33. Joao Pedro 39. Nambu K. 24. Pratama R. 14. Zaky S.	13. Arifin S. 9. Daniels K. 20. Irfan A. 78. Irman M. 32. Maulana D. 8. Nugroho A. 2. Syukron M. 31. Tuna A. 64. Wahyudi W. (G) 99. Yudo K.
Coaches
Tavares B.	Vera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', Maruoka M. (Pen),
27', Salman D. 🟨,
30', Hamzah H. ↓, Syukron M. ↑,
43', 1 - 0, Sayuri Y. ⚽, Silva A. (A),
45+1', 2 - 0, Sayuri Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', Tavinho 🟨,
55', Rahaman A. ↓, Irfan A. ↑,
55', Tavinho ↓, Yudo K. ↑,
58', Pratama R. ↓, Nambu K. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Yudo K. ⚽, Irfan A. (A),
66', Hidayat T. 🟨,
68', Maruoka M. ↓, Nugroho A. ↑,
70', Raehan A. ↓, Pratama R. ↑,
70', Sayuri Y. ↓, Dethan V. ↑,
70', Sayuri Y. ↓, Arfan M. ↑,
74', Fernandes Y. 🟨,
79', Merauje M. 🟨,
80', 3 - 1, Silva A. ⚽,
83', Silva A. ↓, Zaky S. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 2, Brandao E. (Pen),

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Makassar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Makassar won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Makassar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSM Makassar
Indonesian Super League
25.04.24	Arema - PSM Makassar	3:2 ✺
21.04.24	Madura United - PSM Makassar	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	PSM Makassar - PSIS Semarang	3:1 ✺
29.03.24	PSM Makassar - Borneo Samarinda	1:1 ✺
15.03.24	Barito Putera - PSM Makassar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWTL
- RANS Nusantara
Indonesian Super League
26.04.24	RANS Nusantara - Persija Jakarta	0:1 ✺
22.04.24	PSIS Semarang - RANS Nusantara	2:1 ✺
17.04.24	RANS Nusantara - Barito Putera	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Persis Solo - RANS Nusantara	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	RANS Nusantara - Bali United Pusam	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
30.10.23	RANS Nusantara - PSM Makassar	1:1
30.01.23	PSM Makassar - RANS Nusantara	3:1
15.08.22	RANS Nusantara - PSM Makassar	1:2

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