Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parc des Princes (Paris) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	16:00	FOX Sports 2
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Belgium, Pickx+ Belgium, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	16:00	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 1
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	03:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	21:00	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	23:00	Silk Sport 2
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	Stod 2 Sport 4
India	00:30	Sony LIV
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 4
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 5
Mexico	13:00	Cinemax, HBO Max
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
North Central America	—	SportsMax Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1, MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	00:00	Tapmad
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 2
South America	—	ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 5
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
Usa	15:00	Paramount+, Sport 24 Extra
Venezuela	15:00	Inter
Vietnam	02:00	TV 360
International	19:00	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, SportsMax App


	Paris Saint-Germain		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	1.29	6	9
	1.28	6.25	9.5
	1.29	6.4	9.9	Watch
	1.29	6.4	10.18
	1.31	6.09	9.15	Watch
	1.29	6	10
	1.31	6.5	9.8
	1.29	6.4	9.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.52)	6.26 ↑ (4.72)	9.68 ↑ (5.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
74.6%

Draw
15.4%

PSV Eindhoven
10%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.2%

20.3%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

20.8%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris Saint-Germain's performance.

PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PSV Eindhoven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paris Saint-Germain that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.8%	5.5%	7.7%

Paris Saint Germain - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (75 of 86 users predict this - 87.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.15% – 94.27%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Donnarumma G. (G) 2. Hakimi A. 5. Marquinhos (C) 51. Pacho W. 25. Mendes N. 33. Zaire-Emery W. 87. Neves J. 8. Ruiz F. 10. Dembele O. 19. Lee Kang-In 29. Barcola B.	1. Benitez W. (G) 17. Mauro Junior 6. Flamingo R. 18. Boscagli O. 32. Dams M. 20. Til G. 7. Tillman M. 34. Saibari I. 11. Bakayoko J. 9. de Jong L. (C) 10. Lang N.
Substitutes
11. Asensio M. 35. Beraldo L. 14. Doue D. 23. Kolo Muani R. 24. Mayulu S. 39. Safonov M. (G) 37. Skriniar M. 80. Tenas A. (G) 17. Vitinha 42. Zague Y.	26. Babadi I. 21. Driouech C. 16. Drommel J. (G) 28. Land T. 37. Ledezma R. 39. Nagalo A. 4. Obispo A. 35. Oppegard F. 14. Pepi R. 24. Schiks N. (G)
Coaches
Luis Enrique	Bosz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Lang N. ⚽, Saibari I. (A),
40', Mendes N. 🟨,
45+2', Mauro Junior 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, Hakimi A. ⚽, Ruiz F. (A),
59', Ruiz F. ↓, Vitinha ↑,
65', Lang N. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
68', Lee Kang-In ↓, Asensio M. ↑,
77', Dams M. 🟨,
81', Barcola B. ↓, Kolo Muani R. ↑,
81', Dembele O. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
81', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
83', Bakayoko J. ↓, Babadi I. ↑,
84', Saibari I. ↓, Ledezma R. ↑,
90+1', Ledezma R. 🟨,
90+2', Babadi I. 🟨,
90+3', de Jong L. 🟨,
90+6', Benitez W. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches PSG is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

PSV in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match PSG is certain favorite.

There will not play in PSG: Hernandez L. (Knee Injury) Kimpembe P. (Convalescence) Kolo Muani R. (Ankle Injury) Ramos G. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in PSV: Dest S. (Knee Injury) Fofana F. (Knee Injury) Karsdorp R. (Injury) Schouten J. (Injury) Veerman J. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in PSV: Lozano H. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
19.10.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	4:2 ✺
06.10.24	Nice - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.24	Arsenal - Paris Saint-Germain	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
27.09.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Rennes	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	Reims - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTLWT
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
19.10.24	AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	PSV Eindhoven - Sparta Rotterdam	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.24	PSV Eindhoven - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
28.09.24	Willem II - PSV Eindhoven	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Fortuna Sittard - PSV Eindhoven	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTWW

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