Match Info

Date: 1 October 2020, Thursday


	Malmö		Granada

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.25
	3.5	3.3	2.16	Watch
	3.2	3.25	2.17
	3.42	3.36	2.2
	3.2	3	2.2	Watch
	3.4	3.16	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (4.01)	3.21 ↑ (3.19)	2.2 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
28.2%

Draw
29.2%

Granada
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

29.3%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

22.7%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malmö that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Granada could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	4.4%	54.4%

Malmö - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 28 - 41.2%). Granada will win (votes: 37 - 54.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 4.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Granada: 42.6% – 66.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Granada will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.09.20	Malmö - Häcken	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.20	Malmö - Lokomotiva Zagreb	5:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.09.20	Norrköping - Malmö	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.20	Budapest Honved - Malmö	0:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
13.09.20	Malmö - AIK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWTWT
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga
27.09.20	Atlético Madrid - Granada	6:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.20	Granada - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
20.09.20	Granada - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.20	Teuta Durrës - Granada	0:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
12.09.20	Granada - Athletic Bilbao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWW

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