The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sparta Rotterdam 38.6%
Draw 26.6%
NEC Nijmegen 34.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.7%
25.7%
43.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.4%
25.5%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sparta Rotterdam's performance.
NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NEC Nijmegen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sparta Rotterdam that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NEC Nijmegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.9%
44.8%
17.2%
Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 42.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.6% โ 61.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Sparta Rotterdam (1.81) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
DC - Nijmegen (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 4 - 40%). Nijmegen (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Drommel J. (G) 2. Martes L. 3. Young M. 4. Martins Indi B. (C) 5. Quintero T. 8. Kitolano J. 6. Clement P. 7. van Bergen M. 10. Santos A. 11. Mito S. 9. Lauritsen T.
1. Crettaz G. (G) 14. Dasa E. 4. Kaplan A. 24. Fonville D. 2. Pereira B. 6. Nejasmic D. 23. Sano K. 11. Onal B. 19. Willumsson W. T. 10. Chery T. (C) 30. Linssen B.
Substitutes
16. Baas J. 22. Bakari S. 20. Bednarek F. (G) 13. de Guzman J. 15. Kleijn M. 30. Kuiper P. (G) 21. Roaldsoy A. 12. Sambo S. 17. Terho C. 18. Toornstra J. 14. van Aanholt P. 19. Zonneveld M.
22. Cillessen J. (G) 9. Danilo Pereira 34. El Kachati Y. 8. Hansen-Aaroen I. 20. Lebreton N. 7. Misidjan V. 17. Nuytinck B. 18. Ogawa K. 5. Ouwejan T. 71. Proper D. 3. Sandler P. 15. Willems J.
Coaches
Steijn M.
Schreuder D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Chery T. ↓, Proper D. ↑,
28', Martes L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Martes L. ↓, Sambo S. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Martins Indi B. ⚽, Young M. (A),
65', Willumsson W. T. 🟨,
66', Fonville D. 🟨,
68', Willumsson W. T. ↓, Danilo Pereira ↑,
68', Linssen B. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
68', Onal B. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
73', Kitolano J. 🟨,
73', Clement P. 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Ogawa K. ⚽, Sano K. (A),
75', Dasa E. ↓, Misidjan V. ↑,
84', Clement P. ↓, Baas J. ↑,
89', Misidjan V. 🟨,
90+3', Kaplan A. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 1.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Sparta Rotterdam may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Nijmegen has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: van Crooij V.
(Injury)
There will not play in Nijmegen: Entius F.
(Knee Injury)
Ouaissa S.
(Yellow Cards)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Rotterdam won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.5:0.5).
Indonesia
Netherlands
Suriname
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Drommel J. (G) 
Quintero T. 
Kitolano J. 
Mito S. 
Crettaz G. (G) 
Dasa E. 
Kaplan A. 
Fonville D. 
Pereira B. 
Nejasmic D. 
Willumsson W. T. 
Chery T. (C) 
Bakari S. 
Bednarek F. (G) 
Terho C. 
Danilo Pereira 
El Kachati Y. 
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