The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paços de Ferreira 36.5%
Draw 30.2%
Boavista 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.5%
30.3%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.9%
29.8%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paços de Ferreira that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boavista could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
38.5%
53.8%
7.7%
Paços de Ferreira - Boavista Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Boavista will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 9).
Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 18 (47.84%), has project points - 25, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (82%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Boavista has the most likely position - 11 (11.29%), has project points - 41, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality43, small importance20, match rating32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Two teams are playing changeable.
Boavista could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Boavista: Penaranda A.
(Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Croatia
Portugal
Serbia
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