The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paços de Ferreira 31.1%
Draw 30%
Chaves 38.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.1%
29.2%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.1%
28.2%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Paços de Ferreira - Chaves Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - draw (1.34) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rafa (G) 21. Anilson 77. Rafael 23. Ferreira T. (C) 15. Dias L. 26. Cunha N. 88. Francisco Ramos 90. Lumungo R. 8. Costa D. 36. Silva V. 9. Victor J.
23. Gudzulic M. (G) 19. Tiago Almeida 4. Bruno Rodrigues 33. Simoes T. 3. Romero A. 20. Ktatau 8. Pinho P. (C) 27. Esajas R. 10. Rodrigues A. 77. Reinaldo 17. Roberto
Substitutes
2. Cardoso G. 47. da Silva Moreira I. A. 3. Diegao 7. Diego Fernandes 28. Marafona (G) 22. Mota 19. Nito 13. Pinto J. 5. Sousa A.
44. Bikoro F. 15. Carraca 5. Kiko 30. Kusso D. 22. Muscat Z. 26. Rodrigues G. 29. Tounkara M. 1. Vozinha (G) 21. Wellington Carvalho
Coaches
Braga N.
Martins V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 3)
8', Gudzulic M. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Victor J. (Penalty Awarded),
21', 1 - 1, Pinho P. ⚽, Esajas R. (A),
24', 1 - 2, Roberto ⚽,
28', 2 - 2, Lumungo R. ⚽, Silva V. (A),
30', 2 - 3, Rodrigues A. ⚽, Reinaldo (A),
39', 3 - 3, Silva V. ⚽, Lumungo R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Silva V. ↓, Mota ↑,
61', 4 - 3, Lumungo R. ⚽, Victor J. (A),
66', Esajas R. ↓, Wellington Carvalho ↑,
66', Tiago Almeida ↓, Carraca ↑,
67', Victor J. ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
67', Francisco Ramos ↓, Diegao ↑,
73', Romero A. ↓, Kiko ↑,
78', Rodrigues A. ↓, Kusso D. ↑,
80', Lumungo R. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
80', Anilson ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
83', Cunha N. 🟨,
87', Rafael ↓, Cardoso G. ↑,
90', Reinaldo 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Chaves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Chaves
6
1
1
4
5:13
-8
4
Last Results with these Odds
Paços de Ferreira - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 29.09%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Portugal
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Rafa (G) 
Anilson 
Lumungo R. 
Costa D. 
Gudzulic M. (G) 
Romero A. 
Esajas R. 
Nito 
Bikoro F. 
Kusso D. 
Muscat Z. 
Tounkara M. 
