Match Info

ITALY: COPPA ITALIA SERIE C - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 3 November 2022, Thursday

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova)


	Padova		Imolese

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.33
	1.77	3.4	3.8
	1.71	3.45	4.3
	1.61	3.81	4.94
	1.71	3.48	4.4	Watch
	1.72	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.12)	3.52 ↑ (3.24)	4.38 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
53.5%

Draw
25.8%

Imolese
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

28.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Padova's performance.

Imolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Imolese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Padova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imolese than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Imolese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Padova - Imolese Predictions

Users Predictions: Padova will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Padova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Padova won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Padova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
31.10.22	Piacenza - Padova	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Padova - Novara	1:2 ✺
19.10.22	Triestina - Padova	0:2 ✺
16.10.22	Padova - Virtus Verona	0:0 ✺
09.10.22	Pergolettese - Padova	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLWTL
- Imolese Calcio 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
29.10.22	Fermana - Imolese	1:2 ✺
23.10.22	Gubbio - Imolese	3:0 ✺
19.10.22	Imolese - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
16.10.22	Cesena - Imolese	4:0 ✺
09.10.22	Imolese - Recanatese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.01.21	Imolese - Padova	1:1
27.09.20	Padova - Imolese	0:1
08.12.19	Padova - Imolese	2:0

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