Match Info

Date: 11 November 2020, Wednesday


	Perugia		Padova

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.6
	2.65	3	2.5	Watch
	2.6	3.15	2.45
	2.7	2.85	2.5
	2.85	3.08	2.57
	2.8	3	2.55
	2.7	3.24	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.35)	3.06 ↓ (3.14)	2.52 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
33.9%

Draw
29.9%

Padova
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

29.4%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

20.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Perugia's form might have worsened.

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perugia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Padova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Perugia - Padova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Recently Perugia have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Perugia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
08.11.20	Sambenedettese - Perugia	1:1 ✺
01.11.20	Modena - Perugia	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
28.10.20	Brescia - Perugia	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.20	Perugia - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
21.10.20	Legnago Salus - Perugia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLWW
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group B
08.11.20	Padova - Virtus Verona	2:0 ✺
02.11.20	Cesena - Padova	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
28.10.20	Fiorentina - Padova	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.20	Padova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0 ✺
21.10.20	Arezzo - Padova	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
16.03.19	Padova - Perugia	0:1
30.10.18	Perugia - Padova	3:2

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