Match Info

Serie B - Round 9

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Manedo Mazzoni E. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	20:00	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
International	19:00	OneFootball TV


	Padova		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.6	Watch
	2.10	3.10	3.60
	2.15	3	3.4	Watch
	2.24	3.1	3.81
	2.17	3.05	3.65	Watch
	2.19	3	3.7
	2.17	3.1	3.49	Watch
	2.15	3.05	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.26)	3.05 ↓ (3.17)	3.58 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
43.4%

Draw
30.6%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
26.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.2%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

27.9%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	81.8%	9.1%

Padova - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Südtirol will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 81.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 65.7% – 97.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sorrentino A. (G) 27. Dellavalle A. 5. Lovato M. (C) 58. Pastina C. 6. Giunti G. 14. Pompetti M. 21. Zuelli E. 8. Fusi P. 34. Cocchi M. 90. Artistico G. 9. Moro L.	22. Plizzari A. (G) 4. Stivanello R. 55. Giorgini A. 3. Veroli D. 79. Molina S. (C) 46. Brik D. 5. Tronchin S. 23. Davi F. 11. Lopes V. 14. Vasic A. 90. Okoro A.
Substitutes
20. Bortolussi M. 17. Capelli A. 24. Carissoni L. 23. Di Mariano F. 72. Faedo C. 25. Galazzi N. 74. Marcolini D. 1. Mouquet L. (G) 11. Seghetti A. 32. Sgarbi F. 18. Silletti E. 7. Varas K.	17. Anghele L. 9. Burnete R. 24. Davi S. 39. Iuliano M. 25. Mixtur K. 19. Pellini M. 10. Rispoli F. 80. Schroot E. 27. Stabile G. 21. Tait F. 12. Vadjunec R. (G) 18. Zeroli K.
Coaches
Calabro A.	Possanzini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Artistico G. ⚽, Giunti G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vasic A. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
62', Brik D. ↓, Rispoli F. ↑,
68', Lovato M. 🟨,
68', Molina S. 🟨,
69', Cocchi M. 🟨,
70', Cocchi M. ↓, Carissoni L. ↑,
70', Moro L. ↓, Seghetti A. ↑,
72', Okoro A. ↓, Mixtur K. ↑,
74', Fusi P. 🟨,
78', Zuelli E. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
78', Pompetti M. ↓, Varas K. ↑,
81', Rispoli F. 🟨,
81', Davi F. ↓, Zeroli K. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Capelli A. ⚽,
90', Fusi P. ↓, Galazzi N. ↑,
90+2', Dellavalle A. 🟨,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 9th and 7th in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Padova won 1.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Padova: Buonaiuto C. (Muscle Injury) Caprari G. (Inactive) Zanimacchia L. (Foot Injury).

Confirmed absences for Südtirol: Bjarkason B. (Inactive) El Kaouakibi H. (Knee Injury) Pyyhtia N. (Hand Injury) Varnier M. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Padova has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:11 (averaging 0.7:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Padova against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:5 goals (averaging 1:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Padova	9	4	1	4	9:10	-1	13
8	Sudtirol	9	3	4	2	10:9	1	13

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Sudtirol: 0.83% Padova: 0.83%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie B
24.10.26	Avellino - Padova	0:1 ✺
17.10.26	Padova - Virtus Entella	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Padova - Carrarese	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Palermo - Padova	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Padova - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLLW
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
24.10.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
18.10.26	Juve Stabia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0 ✺
10.10.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ascoli	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Wacker Innsbruck	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie B
20.09.26	Arezzo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.01.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Padova	3:0
01.11.25	Padova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1
Italian Serie C Group A
16.04.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Padova	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
06.04.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Padova	0:1
09.03.22	Padova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0
Italian Serie C Group A
12.12.21	Padova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0
Italian Serie C Group B
21.02.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Padova	1:1

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