Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)

Referee: Chinkov V. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Soccernet TV
Sweden	Sport Bladet Play


	Paide LM		Häcken

	1	X	2
	7.5	8	1.2	Watch
	10	6.75	1.2
	10	6.5	1.22	Watch
	10.71	6.63	1.21
	10.68	7.19	1.2	Watch
	11.6	7.22	1.21	Watch
	10	6.5	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.07 ↑ (8.1)	6.97 ↑ (5.22)	1.21 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paide LM
9.3%

Draw
13.4%

Häcken
77.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.4%

17.7%

70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.4%

17.8%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paide LM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Häcken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Häcken's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Häcken, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	9.5%	76.2%

Paide LM - Häcken Predictions

Users Predictions: Häcken will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Jarju E. (C) 2. Lilander M. 27. Baranov N. 29. Saliste J. 6. Kristal P. 23. Delevic M. 16. Medic P. 14. Saarma R. 41. Luts D. 20. Ceesay A. 19. Luts S.	26. Abrahamsson P. (G) 6. Lindahl A. 3. Hammar J. 4. Lode M. 21. Lundqvist A. 16. Dahbo P. 14. Gustafson S. (C) 11. Lindberg J. 24. Layouni A. 19. Hrstic S. 29. Inoussa Z.
Substitutes
1. Aksalu M. (G) 10. Frolov A. 11. Gomis M. 25. Gueye M. 28. Hoim O. 17. Jepihhin D. 5. Juhkam G. 15. Ojamaa H. 9. Piht K. 56. Sapp M. (G) 24. Suso M.	23. Agbonifo J. 27. Amane R. 30. Banozic S. (G) 12. Fridriksson V. 5. Hovland E. 35. Jansson S. 7. Laursen J. 1. Linde A. (G) 34. Nioule S. 18. Rygaard M. 20. Trpcevski F. 10. Youssef A.
Coaches
Stojkovic I.	Johansen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Lundqvist A. ⚽,
30', Luts S. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Saarma R. ⚽,
39', Lindahl A. ↓, Fridriksson V. ↑,
44', Medic P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Lundqvist A. 🟨,
55', Luts D. 🟨,
68', Layouni A. 🟨,
90+2', Piht K. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - A. Le Coq Arena. 1st leg result: 1-6.

Recent matches Paide is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Häcken is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Paide could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Häcken is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paide won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paide LM
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.24	Häcken - Paide LM	6:1 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.08.24	Kuressaare - Paide LM	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Paide LM - Stjarnan	4:0 ✺
25.07.24	Stjarnan - Paide LM	2:1 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
21.07.24	Paide LM - Tallinna Kalev	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLW
- BK Häcken
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.24	Häcken - Paide LM	6:1 ✺
31.07.24	Häcken - F91 Dudelange	6:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
28.07.24	Häcken - Västerås SK	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	F91 Dudelange - Häcken	2:6 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.07.24	Värnamo - Häcken	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.24	Häcken - Paide LM	6:1

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