Match Info

Estonian Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Paide linnastaadion (Paide)

Referee: Laane K. (Est)


	Paide LM		Tallinna Kalev

	1	X	2
	1.05	9.8	23
	1.05	12.12	18.48
	1.06	12.71	16.48	Watch
	1.05	9.5	21
	1.04	10.5	41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↓ (1.07)	10.93 ↑ (9.05)	23.99 ↓ (26.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paide LM
87.7%

Draw
8.4%

Tallinna Kalev
3.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.3%

10.2%

3.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paide LM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Paide LM - Tallinna Kalev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Meerits M. (G) 7. Tur E. 27. Baranov N. 4. Andrade 2. Lilander M. 77. Luts D. 21. Smirnov R. 28. Hoim O. 14. Jobarteh M. 8. Ojamaa H. (C) 20. Piht K.	13. Vetkal M. (G) 22. Sakarias A. 23. Sibul A. 21. Petrunin D. (C) 14. Sikk A. 6. Sal-Al-Saller D. 8. De Pizzol O. 19. Tomberg M. 11. Pormeister K. 12. Purje A. 10. Gusarov A.
Substitutes
9. Anier H. 30. Badamosi A. 99. Jarju E. (G) 37. Kanne K. 19. Luts S. 10. Miller M. 24. Nigula R. 15. Ojamaa H. 11. Sohna M. P. 16. Surogin A.	56. Alunurm T. 9. Ilves R. 17. Jaritsa E. 32. Kaljurand J. (G) 36. Kenchoshvili S. 5. Kirsipuu S. 48. Leis L. 26. Luts R. 66. Seimoja T.
Coaches
Vassiljev V.	Stojkovic I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Piht K. (Penalty Awarded),
22', Petrunin D. 🟨,
26', 2 - 0, Jobarteh M. ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, Ojamaa H. ⚽,
45+2', 4 - 0, Luts D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gusarov A. ↓, Leis L. ↑,
48', 5 - 0, Luts D. ⚽,
57', 6 - 0, Hoim O. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paide won 3.

Paide has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Paide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Paide is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paide won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 52:20. (average 2.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Paide won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:8. (average 2.6:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paide LM
Estonian Meistriliiga
07.03.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Paide LM	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.02.26	Paide LM - Super Nova	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Paide LM - Flora Tallinn	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Paide LM - Nõmme Kalju	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Narva Trans - Paide LM	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWT
- Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga
05.03.26	Tartu Welco - Tallinna Kalev	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.02.26	Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus	0:6 ✺
25.01.26	Tammeka - Tallinna Kalev	0:3 ✺
18.01.26	Tallinna Kalev - Flora U21	3:1 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
08.11.25	Tallinna Kalev - Kuressaare	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
17.09.25	Tallinna Kalev - Paide LM	0:3
09.08.25	Paide LM - Tallinna Kalev	2:2
26.04.25	Tallinna Kalev - Paide LM	1:0
30.03.25	Paide LM - Tallinna Kalev	5:0
Club Friendly
15.02.25	Paide LM - Tallinna Kalev	4:0
Estonian Meistriliiga
17.09.24	Tallinna Kalev - Paide LM	3:2
21.07.24	Paide LM - Tallinna Kalev	3:1

Upcoming Matches