Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 12 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Portugal	Sport TV


	Palestino		Nacional Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.6	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.5
	2.1	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.17	3.37	3.6
	2.18	3.37	3.45
	2.05	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.14	3.32	3.38	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.2)	3.31 ↑ (3.25)	3.44 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palestino
44.3%

Draw
28.4%

Nacional Asuncion
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28.6%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.9%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Palestino - Nacional Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: Palestino will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rigamonti C. (G) 3. Rojas B. 17. Roman I. 13. Suarez C. 28. Zuniga D. 14. Abrigo J. 5. Linares N. 8. Cornejo F. 7. Carrasco B. 9. Sosa G. 24. Palacio P.	1. Silva A. (G) 17. Blasi B. 14. Nunez C. 5. Ojeda S. 25. Rivas L. 33. Gaona Lugo O. 6. Alfaro J. 7. Orzusa E. 8. Velazco F. 9. Bailone I. 23. Duarte D.
Substitutes
20. Araya M. 11. Benitez J. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 22. Chamorro F. 26. Contreras D. (G) 10. Davila Carvajal M. 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 27. Marabel J. 23. Martinez Arce A. E. 21. Riquelme A. 19. Vejar B.	4. Alfaro J. L. 38. Arevalo R. 31. Bazan N. 36. Benegas I. 11. Caballero G. 30. Galarza L. (G) 16. Gonzalez M. 13. Meza L. 32. Morel F. 35. Peralta F. (G) 24. Santacruz Rodas J. F. 29. Vargas S.
Coaches
Sanchez P.	Pumpido J. P.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.

Palestino is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Nacional Asuncion is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Palestino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Palestino will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Palestino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Primera Division
09.03.24	OHiggins - Palestino	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.03.24	Nacional Asuncion - Palestino	0:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
02.03.24	Palestino - Universidad Católica	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.02.24	Palestino - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
24.02.24	Palestino - Cobreloa	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLWW
- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
08.03.24	Sol de América - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.03.24	Nacional Asuncion - Palestino	0:2 ✺
28.02.24	Atlético Nacional - Nacional Asuncion	0:3 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.02.24	2 de Mayo - Nacional Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.02.24	Nacional Asuncion - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
05.03.24	Nacional Asuncion - Palestino	0:2

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