The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Palmeiras 68.7%
Draw 21%
Grêmio Novorizontino 10.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.1%
24.6%
12.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.7%
23.3%
11.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palmeiras's performance.
Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Palmeiras - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1 - Novorizontino (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Carlos Miguel (G) 12. Khellven 15. Gomez G. (C) 26. Murilo 22. Piquerez J. 8. Andreas Pereira 17. Marlon Freitas 18. Mauricio 42. Lopez J. 40. Allan Elias 19. Sosa R.
93. Jordi (G) 22. Ivan Alvarino 25. Dantas 4. Patrick 77. Mayk 6. Luis Oyama 18. Leo Naldi 16. Vinicius Paiva 50. Juninho 17. Matheus Bianqui 11. Robson (C)
Substitutes
11. Arias J. 56. Arthur Gabriel 3. Bruno Fuchs 7. Felipe Anderson 4. Giay A. 6. Jefte 48. Larson 30. Lucas Evangelista 31. Luighi 50. Luis Pacheco 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 9. Vitor Roque
90. Caio Dantas 20. Castrillon N. 31. Cesar Augusto (G) 19. Diego Galo 14. Eduardo Brock 26. Gabriel Bahia 40. Jardiel 21. Kauan Alemao 24. Lora J. 30. Nicolas Careca 8. Ortiz C. 15. Tavinho
Coaches
Abel Ferreira
Moreira E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Ivan Alvarino 🟨,
16', Dantas 🟨,
29', Leo Naldi 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Lopez J. ⚽, Sosa R. (A),
45+2', Robson (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Juninho ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
59', Ivan Alvarino ↓, Kauan Alemao ↑,
60', Allan Elias ↓, Arias J. ↑,
60', Andreas Pereira ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
65', Mauricio 🟨,
70', Mauricio ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
70', Sosa R. ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
71', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Tavinho ↑,
83', Jordi 🟨,
83', Arias J. 🟨,
90+4', Matheus Bianqui ↓, Castrillon N. ↑,
Preview
First leg.
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Palmeiras is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Novorizontino is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 2.
Palmeiras has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Novorizontino is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, Palmeiras is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Palmeiras: Figueiredo
(Injury)
Martinez E.
(Injury)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Novorizontino: Helio Borges
(Inactive)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Maykon Jesus
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
We predict that Palmeiras will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:9. (average 2.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:2. (average 3:0.4).
Brazil
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Carlos Miguel (G) 
Gomez G. (C) 
Piquerez J. 
Lopez J. 
Arias J. 
Lora J. 
Abel Ferreira 
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