Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Olympic Stadium of Athens (Athens)

Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
France	CANAL+ Foot, myCANAL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Panathinaikos		Lens

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.5
	2.6	3.4	2.55
	2.67	3.39	2.63
	2.59	3.43	2.58	Watch
	2.75	3.41	2.64	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.6)	3.4 (3.4)	2.56 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panathinaikos
35.7%

Draw
27.6%

Lens
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

26.2%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

25.2%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	52.9%	23.5%

Panathinaikos - Lens Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Panathinaikos will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Lens will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Dragowski B. (G) 27. Kotsiras G. 15. Ingason S. I. 21. Jedvaj T. 25. Mladenovic F. 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 55. Arao W. 10. Tete 11. Bakasetas A. 28. Pellistri F. 7. Ioannidis F. (C)	30. Samba B. (C) 24. Gradit J. 25. Khusanov A. 20. Sarr M. 29. Frankowski P. 28. Thomasson A. 18. Diouf A. 3. Machado D. 10. Pereira da Costa D. 7. Sotoca F. 22. Said W.
Substitutes
31. Djuricic F. 81. Lilo K. (G) 18. Limnios D. 1. Lodygin Y. (G) 20. Maksimovic N. 17. Mancini D. 3. Max P. 80. Ntampizas A. 5. Schenkeveld B. 9. Sporar A. 2. Vagiannidis G. 6. Zeca	2. Aguilar R. 11. Fulgini A. 37. Ganiou I. 21. Haidara M. 13. Jhoanner Chavez 16. Koffi H. (G) 36. Labeau Lascary R. 26. Mendy N. 8. Nzola M. 15. Ojediran H. 1. Petric D. (G) 34. Pouilly T.
Coaches
Alonso D.	Still W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Frankowski P. 🟨,
15', Sotoca F. (Pen),
19', Tete 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Gradit J. 🟨,
61', Kotsiras G. ↓, Vagiannidis G. ↑,
61', Bakasetas A. ↓, Mancini D. ↑,
61', Gnezda Cerin A. ↓, Maksimovic N. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Pellistri F. ⚽, Ioannidis F. (A),
66', Pereira da Costa D. ↓, Fulgini A. ↑,
67', Said W. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
71', Machado D. ↓, Jhoanner Chavez ↑,
71', Sarr M. ↓, Haidara M. ↑,
79', Ingason S. I. ↓, Schenkeveld B. ↑,
82', Pellistri F. ↓, Djuricic F. ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Tete ⚽, Mancini D. (A),
87', Gradit J. ↓, Nzola M. ↑,
90+4', Haidara M. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Recent matches Panathinaikos is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lens is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Panathinaikos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Lens have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Panathinaikos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panathinaikos FC
Greek Super League
25.08.24	Panathinaikos - Levadiakos	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Lens - Panathinaikos	2:1 ✺
Greek Super League
18.08.24	Panathinaikos - Asteras Tripolis	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Ajax - Panathinaikos	1:1 penalties ✺
08.08.24	Panathinaikos - Ajax	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLWL
- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
25.08.24	Lens - Brest	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Lens - Panathinaikos	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.08.24	Angers - Lens	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Lens - Leicester City	3:0 ✺
03.08.24	Lens - Bayer Leverkusen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Lens - Panathinaikos	2:1

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