Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Sportpark De Zanderij (Ermelo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	SKAI
Israel	Sport 3
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ajax		Panathinaikos

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.40	3.10
	1.98	3.35	3.25
	2.00	3.60	3.18
	2.22	3.51	2.99	Watch
	1.93	3.15	3.10
	1.99	3.45	3.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.89)	3.41 ↓ (3.9)	3.21 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
45.1%

Draw
26.6%

Panathinaikos
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

24.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Ajax - Panathinaikos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paes M. (G) 6. Regeer Y. 3. Bouwman A. 4. Baas Y. 2. Rosa L. 10. Gloukh O. 5. Wijndal O. 8. Steur S. 7. Berghuis S. (C) 9. Konadu D. 19. Nash P.	1. Pena I. (G) 2. Calabria D. 15. Ingason S. I. 26. Camara E. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 5. Touba A. 16. Gnezda Cerin A. (C) 88. Jagusic A. 10. Andino S. 9. Zaroury A. 7. Tetteh A.
Substitutes
20. Abdalla M. 25. Amour J. 21. Appiah A. 17. Carrizo M. 16. Janse D. 15. Johnson J. 18. Klaassen D. 24. Mokio J. 23. Muzungu M. 22. Ouazane A. 12. Reverson P. (G) 30. Setford C. (G)	12. Chaves L. (G) 4. Chirivella P. 3. Katris G. 18. Kontouris S. 70. Kotsaris K. (G) 56. Lavdas V. 23. Pantelidis P. 17. Rastoder E. 24. Siopis M. 20. Taborda V. 19. Tsapras T.
Coaches
Michel	Neestrup J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', Calabria D. ↓, Tsapras T. ↑,
16', 0 - 1, Tetteh A. ⚽, Tsapras T. (A),
31', 0 - 2, Zaroury A. ⚽, Jagusic A. (A),
43', 1 - 2, Konadu D. ⚽, Gloukh O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nash P. ↓, Amour J. ↑,
46', Konadu D. ↓, Muzungu M. ↑,
46', Berghuis S. ↓, Appiah A. ↑,
46', Steur S. ↓, Ouazane A. ↑,
46', Regeer Y. ↓, Abdalla M. ↑,
46', Gloukh O. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
46', Rosa L. ↓, Carrizo M. ↑,
46', Bouwman A. ↓, Klaassen D. ↑,
46', Baas Y. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
46', Wijndal O. ↓, Janse D. ↑,
46', Paes M. ↓, Reverson P. ↑,
46', Ingason S. I. ↓, Katris G. ↑,
46', Gnezda Cerin A. ↓, Chirivella P. ↑,
46', Zaroury A. ↓, Kontouris S. ↑,
63', Tetteh A. ↓, Rastoder E. ↑,
63', Andino S. ↓, Taborda V. ↑,
63', Camara E. ↓, Siopis M. ↑,
64', Jagusic A. ↓, Pantelidis P. ↑,
72', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Biniaris P. ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Taborda V. ⚽, Biniaris P. (A),
78', Touba A. ↓, Lavdas V. ↑,
82', Biniaris P. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 3.

In recent matches, Panathinaikos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Panathinaikos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ajax is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
24.05.26	Ajax - Utrecht	2:1 penalties ✺
21.05.26	Ajax - Groningen	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Heerenveen - Ajax	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Ajax - Utrecht	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWTLT
- Panathinaikos FC
Club Friendly
01.07.26	Helmond Sport - Panathinaikos	0:4 ✺
Greek Super League
17.05.26	Panathinaikos - PAOK	2:2 ✺
13.05.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panathinaikos	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	AEK Athens - Panathinaikos	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Panathinaikos - AEK Athens	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Ajax - Panathinaikos	1:1 penalties
08.08.24	Panathinaikos - Ajax	0:1
Club Friendly
22.07.19	Ajax - Panathinaikos	1:2
UEFA Europa League
24.11.16	Ajax - Panathinaikos	2:0
15.09.16	Panathinaikos - Ajax	1:2
Club Friendly
10.07.15	Ajax - Panathinaikos	2:0

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