Match Info

I Lyga - Round 11

Date: 2 June 2025, Monday

Location: Panevėžio futbolo akademijos stadionas (Panevėžys)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Panevėžys 2		Žalgiris Vilnius 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.9	1.8
	5.4	4.4	1.45	Watch
	3.71	3.85	1.75
	5.49	4.17	1.5	Watch
	3.3	3.75	1.85
	6.22	4.1	1.44	Watch
	5.4	4.4	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↓ (5.09)	4.08 ↓ (4.32)	1.61 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panevėžys 2
19.8%

Draw
22.7%

Žalgiris Vilnius 2
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

20.8%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

20.5%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panevėžys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panevėžys 2 than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris Vilnius 2 than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	20%	70%

Panevėžys 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Panevėžys 2 will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Žalgiris 2 will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žalgiris 2: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Panevėžys 2 (votes: 1 - 50%). Žalgiris 2 (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bukel D. (G) 23. Dzinga E. 97. Karvatskyi A. 11. Lazdinauskas R. 10. Misiunas R. (C) 29. Okpanachi J. 18. Puikis E. 21. Pusnys M. 3. Slikas A. 30. Slobodian A. 16. Sonkevicius K.	98. Jakubovskis D. (G) 3. Aleksa D. 60. Baksys T. (C) 29. Bicka K. 24. Burba M. 9. Jarusevicius G. 33. Klimavicius N. 44. Matyzonok P. 28. Simonavicius U. 83. Soja A. 70. Valukonis M.
Substitutes
31. Butkus A. 2. Gleveckas D. 9. Jusys A. 77. Laimikis L. 22. Muraska G. 12. Valius L. (G)	38. Adakauskas T. 89. Alfieri A. 99. Blaskevicius N. 16. Kontautas K. 42. Lukasevic K. 19. Youla M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Jarusevicius G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Pusnys M. ↓, Kuodis K. ↑,
65', Bukel D. 🟨,
66', 0 - 2, Burba M. (Pen),
72', 🟨,
76', Valukonis M. ↓, Alfieri A. ↑,
76', Jarusevicius G. ↓, Kontautas K. ↑,
77', Okpanachi J. ↓, Butkus A. ↑,
77', Puikis E. ↓, Jusys A. ↑,
80', Aleksa D. 🟨,
83', Klimavicius N. ↓, Adakauskas T. ↑,
85', 🟨,
87', 0 - 3, Lukasevic K. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys 2 won 1.

Panevėžys 2 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Žalgiris 2 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Panevėžys 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Žalgiris 2 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys 2 won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Panevėžys 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Panevėžys 2
Lithuanian Division 2
24.05.25	Minija Kretinga - Panevėžys 2	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Panevėžys 2 - FA Šiauliai B	0:4 ✺
09.05.25	Jonava - Panevėžys 2	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Panevėžys 2	2:1 ✺
28.04.25	Panevėžys 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW
- Žalgiris Vilnius 2
Lithuanian Division 2
26.05.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2	4:3 ✺
16.05.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:3 ✺
11.05.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BFA Vilnius	4:1 ✺
04.05.25	Ekranas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
03.11.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Panevėžys 2	4:4
23.06.23	Panevėžys 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:2
18.09.22	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Panevėžys 2	1:3
23.05.22	Panevėžys 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:3
17.09.21	Panevėžys 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:1
29.05.21	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Panevėžys 2	3:0
17.07.20	Panevėžys 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:0

Panevėžys 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide