Match Info

I Lyga - Round 23

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Panevėžio futbolo akademijos stadionas (Panevėžys)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Panevėžys 2		Jonava

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.6	2
	4.94	2.27	2.25	Watch
	3.5	3.7	1.84
	3.1	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (2.37)	3.29 ↓ (3.48)	2.01 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panevėžys 2
25.6%

Draw
28.2%

Jonava
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.1%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

26.4%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panevėžys 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panevėžys 2's form might have worsened.

Jonava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jonava's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panevėžys 2 than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panevėžys 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jonava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Panevėžys 2 - Jonava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bukel D. (G) 66. Balsys D. 23. Dzinga E. 19. Fedoruk B. 9. Jusys A. 97. Karvatskyi A. 11. Lazdinauskas R. 25. Lukosevicius I. 10. Misiunas R. (C) 30. Slobodian A. 5. van den Bos M.	1. Sivickas V. (G) 67. Benevicius N. 12. Cerkauskas L. 44. Dombrauskis T. 92. Dubickas A. 99. Ganusauskas M. 11. Mickevicius E. 14. Nainys P. 21. Nikonovas G. 9. Raginis A. 23. Rocys A. (C)
Substitutes
31. Butkus A. 14. Kulbis R. 22. Muraska G. 29. Okpanachi J. 21. Pusnys M. 12. Valius L. (G)	19. Kabosius A. 16. Matuzas M. (G) 7. Mironcikas M. 3. Muka D. 6. Olsauskas K. 45. Petrusevicius D. (G) 70. Rusnius R. 42. Saliunas M. 77. Stulga A. 2. Sungaila V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
77', 0 - 1, ⚽,
79', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys 2 won 2.

Panevėžys 2 is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Jonava has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jonava might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Panevėžys 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Panevėžys 2
Lithuanian Division 2
29.08.25	Panevėžys 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2	0:3 ✺
22.08.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Panevėžys 2	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Panevėžys 2 - BFA Vilnius	2:2 ✺
10.08.25	Ekranas - Panevėžys 2	3:1 ✺
03.08.25	Panevėžys 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLL
- FK Jonava
Lithuanian Division 2
30.08.25	Jonava - Neptūnas	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Jonava	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Babrungas Plungė - Jonava	1:2 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
13.08.25	Jonava - Panevėžys	1:4 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
09.08.25	Jonava - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
09.05.25	Jonava - Panevėžys 2	1:0
17.09.23	Panevėžys 2 - Jonava	4:1
22.04.23	Jonava - Panevėžys 2	1:2
15.10.21	Jonava - Panevėžys 2	1:1
27.06.21	Panevėžys 2 - Jonava	0:1
12.09.20	Jonava - Panevėžys 2	4:1

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