Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi)

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
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World	Disney+


	Paphos		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.35
	2.8	3.3	2.3
	2.95	3.4	2.35	Watch
	3.03	3.44	2.42
	2.91	3.45	2.31	Watch
	3.01	3.56	2.36
	2.95	3.4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (4)	3.42 ↓ (3.6)	2.35 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paphos
32.1%

Draw
27.7%

Heidenheim
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

25.9%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

23.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paphos's performance.

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heidenheim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paphos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heidenheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16%	24%	60%

Paphos - Heidenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ivusic I. (G) 77. Correia J. 23. Luckassen D. 5. Goldar D. (C) 19. Silva J. 30. Dragomir V. 26. Sunjic I. 22. Tankovic M. 11. Jaja 10. Jairo 7. Bruno	1. Muller K. (G) 2. Busch M. 6. Mainka P. 4. Siersleben T. (C) 30. Theuerkauf N. 39. Dorsch N. 20. Kerber L. 31. Conteh S. 21. Beck A. 17. Honsak M. 29. Kaufmann M.
Substitutes
33. Anderson Silva 70. Ilia M. 9. Leo Natel 93. Michail N. (G) 25. Name M. 88. Pepe 2. Pileas K. 8. Quina D. 45. Rafael Pontelo	14. Breunig M. 22. Eicher V. (G) 40. Feller F. (G) 19. Fohrenbach J. 5. Gimber B. 33. Maloney L. 25. Negele C. 18. Pieringer M. 3. Schoppner J. 8. Scienza L. 23. Traore O. H. 10. Wanner P.
Coaches
Carcedo J.	Schmidt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Mainka P. ⚽, Conteh S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dorsch N. 🟨,
53', Honsak M. ↓, Fohrenbach J. ↑,
54', Dorsch N. ↓, Schoppner J. ↑,
55', Luckassen D. 🟨,
61', Jaja ↓, Quina D. ↑,
71', Dragomir V. ↓, Pepe ↑,
71', Jairo ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
78', Kerber L. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
79', Silva J. ↓, Pileas K. ↑,
79', Correia J. ↓, Leo Natel ↑,
86', Conteh S. ↓, Traore O. H. ↑,
86', Kaufmann M. ↓, Pieringer M. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Alphamega Stadium.

Paphos is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Heidenheim is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Heidenheim: Niehues J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Heidenheim: Honsak M. (Knock) Keller T. (Knee Injury) Wanner P. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paphos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paphos FC
Cypriot First Division
19.10.24	Paphos - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	4:0 ✺
06.10.24	Enosis Neon Paralimni - Paphos	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Petrocub-Hîncești - Paphos	1:4 ✺
Cypriot First Division
29.09.24	Paphos - Aris Limassol	1:1 ✺
Cypriot Super Cup
25.09.24	APOEL - Paphos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWTL
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
19.10.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Heidenheim	3:2 ✺
06.10.24	Heidenheim - RB Leipzig	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Heidenheim - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
28.09.24	Mainz - Heidenheim	0:2 ✺
21.09.24	Heidenheim - Freiburg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.08.23	Heidenheim - Paphos	1:1

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