Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 28

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Borussia-Park (Mönchengladbach)

Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)

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	Borussia Mönchengladbach		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.58	4.25	5.4	Watch
	1.64	4.4	5.37
	1.61	4.46	5	Watch
	1.6	4	4.8	Watch
	1.63	4.34	5.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.57)	4.28 ↓ (4.41)	5.21 ↓ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Mönchengladbach
59.4%

Draw
22.3%

Heidenheim
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

21.6%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

21%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	20.8%	20.8%

Borussia Mönchengladbach - Heidenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Borussia M will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia M: 38.6% – 78%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia M (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Heidenheim (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia M (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Heidenheim (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nicolas M. (G) 16. Sander P. 30. Elvedi N. 4. Diks K. 29. Scally J. 27. Reitz R. (C) 6. Engelhardt Y. 17. Castrop J. 9. Honorat F. 36. Mohya W. 18. Machino S.	41. Ramaj D. (G) 2. Busch M. 6. Mainka P. (C) 19. Fohrenbach J. 26. Behrens H. 8. Dinkci E. 16. Niehues J. 30. Dorsch N. 17. Honsak M. 18. Pieringer M. 11. Zivzivadze B.
Substitutes
38. Bolin H. 2. Chiarodia F. C. 5. Friedrich M. 10. Neuhaus F. 23. Olschowsky J. (G) 13. Reyna G. 7. Stoger K. 15. Tabakovic H. 26. Ullrich L.	40. Feller F. (G) 5. Gimber B. 22. Ibrahimovic A. 29. Kaufmann M. 20. Kerber L. 9. Schimmer S. 4. Siersleben T. 25. Stergiou L. 23. Traore O. H.
Coaches
Polanski E.	Schmidt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Mohya W. ⚽, Castrop J. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Mainka P. ⚽, Dorsch N. (A),
42', Castrop J. 🟨,
44', Engelhardt Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Behrens H. ↓, Stergiou L. ↑,
62', Honsak M. ↓, Ibrahimovic A. ↑,
62', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Kaufmann M. ↑,
63', Engelhardt Y. ↓, Stoger K. ↑,
63', Mohya W. ↓, Neuhaus F. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Busch M. ⚽,
68', Kaufmann M. ↓, Gimber B. ↑,
70', Scally J. ↓, Tabakovic H. ↑,
70', Reitz R. ↓, Bolin H. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Honorat F. ⚽, Machino S. (A),
80', Elvedi N. 🟨,
85', Machino S. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
90+4', Diks K. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 4.

In recent matches, Borussia M has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Heidenheim has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Borussia M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Borussia M is the team to beat.

There will not play in Borussia M: Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury) Sippel T. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Knee Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury) Schoppner J. (Yellow Cards) Zivzivadze B. (Knee Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 2.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia M won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

B. Monchengladbach: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	B. Monchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6:16	-10	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Mönchengladbach
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Osnabrück - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
21.03.26	Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:3 ✺
13.03.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Bayern Munich - Borussia Mönchengladbach	4:1 ✺
28.02.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWLW
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
21.03.26	Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3 ✺
14.03.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Heidenheim - Hoffenheim	2:4 ✺
28.02.26	Werder Bremen - Heidenheim	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Heidenheim - Stuttgart	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Heidenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:3
01.03.25	Heidenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:3
19.10.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Heidenheim	3:2
16.03.24	Heidenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1
German DFB Pokal
31.10.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Heidenheim	3:1
German Bundesliga
28.10.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Heidenheim	2:1

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