Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Voith-Arena (Heidenheim)

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

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	Heidenheim		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.5	1.6	Watch
	4.95	4.45	1.6	Watch
	5.03	4.6	1.64
	4.63	4.48	1.64	Watch
	4.5	4	1.62
	5.03	4.62	1.67	Watch
	4.5	4.5	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↑ (4.47)	4.45 ↑ (4.17)	1.63 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidenheim
20%

Draw
21.4%

RB Leipzig
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

22.8%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

22%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.9%	8.9%	82.2%

Heidenheim - RB Leipzig Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - RB Leipzig (2.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Heidenheim (3.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (37 of 44 users predict this - 84.09%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.28% – 94.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): RB Leipzig will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 5 - 18.5%). RB Leipzig (votes: 22 - 81.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Ramaj D. (G) 25. Stergiou L. 6. Mainka P. 5. Gimber B. 19. Fohrenbach J. 3. Schoppner J. 30. Dorsch N. 22. Ibrahimovic A. 21. Beck A. 17. Honsak M. 18. Pieringer M.	1. Gulacsi P. (G) 17. Baku R. 4. Orban W. 5. Bitshiabu E. 22. Raum D. 24. Schlager X. 13. Seiwald N. 14. Baumgartner C. 49. Diomande Y. 40. Romulo Cardoso 7. Nusa A.
Substitutes
26. Behrens H. 2. Busch M. 31. Conteh S. 40. Feller F. (G) 20. Kerber L. 16. Niehues J. 9. Schimmer S. 4. Siersleben T. 23. Traore O. H.	6. Banzuzi E. 35. Finkgrafe M. 27. Gomis T. 11. Harder C. 39. Henrichs B. 16. Klostermann L. 33. Maksimovic A. 19. Nedeljkovic K. 26. Vandevoordt M. (G)
Coaches
Schmidt F.	Werner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
62', 0 - 1, Baku R. ⚽, Diomande Y. (A),
62', Beck A. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
63', Ibrahimovic A. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Nusa A. ⚽, Seiwald N. (A),
70', 0 - 3, Raum D. ⚽, Diomande Y. (A),
71', Baumgartner C. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
71', Nusa A. ↓, Banzuzi E. ↑,
77', Pieringer M. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
77', Honsak M. ↓, Behrens H. ↑,
77', Raum D. ↓, Finkgrafe M. ↑,
77', Bitshiabu E. ↓, Maksimovic A. ↑,
84', Schoppner J. ↓, Niehues J. ↑,
89', Gimber B. 🟨,
90', Baku R. ↓, Henrichs B. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 0.

Recent form of Heidenheim has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

RB Leipzig has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

RB Leipzig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, RB Leipzig has had a series of home games.

In this match, RB Leipzig is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh C. (Knock) Feller F. (Knee Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury) Zivzivadze B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in RB Leipzig: Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Lukeba C. (Knee Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Illness) Kaufmann M. (Illness)

There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Bakayoko J. (Calf Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

RB Leipzig: 2.98%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9:5	4	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
17.01.26	Wolfsburg - Heidenheim	1:1 ✺
13.01.26	Mainz - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Heidenheim - Köln	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Heidenheim - Bayern Munich	0:4 ✺
13.12.25	St. Pauli - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTLL
- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
17.01.26	RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich	1:5 ✺
14.01.26	RB Leipzig - Freiburg	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen	1:3 ✺
12.12.25	Union Berlin - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
30.08.25	RB Leipzig - Heidenheim	2:0
23.02.25	RB Leipzig - Heidenheim	2:2
06.10.24	Heidenheim - RB Leipzig	0:1
20.04.24	Heidenheim - RB Leipzig	1:2
02.12.23	RB Leipzig - Heidenheim	2:1
German 2 Bundesliga
02.03.16	RB Leipzig - Heidenheim	3:1
18.09.15	Heidenheim - RB Leipzig	1:1

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