Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Voith-Arena (Heidenheim)

Referee: Exner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Heidenheim		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.83	Watch
	4.45	3.55	1.82	Watch
	5	3.66	1.81
	4.42	3.6	1.84	Watch
	4.6	3.4	1.75	Watch
	4.52	3.7	1.91	Watch
	4.75	3.6	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↑ (3.68)	3.57 ↓ (3.64)	1.82 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidenheim
20.7%

Draw
26.7%

Freiburg
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

26.1%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

26.2%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Heidenheim's form might have worsened.

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heidenheim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.9%	4.8%	83.3%

Heidenheim - Freiburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (32 of 39 users predict this - 82.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.01% – 94.09%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Freiburg will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Ramaj D. (G) 27. Keller T. 6. Mainka P. (C) 5. Gimber B. 2. Busch M. 16. Niehues J. 30. Dorsch N. 19. Fohrenbach J. 17. Honsak M. 3. Schoppner J. 18. Pieringer M.	1. Atubolu N. (G) 17. Kubler L. 28. Ginter M. 3. Lienhart P. 29. Treu P. 8. Eggestein M. 6. Osterhage P. 19. Beste J. 44. Manzambi J. 32. Grifo V. (C) 9. Holer L.
Substitutes
21. Beck A. 22. Ibrahimovic A. 20. Kerber L. 28. Kolle A. 1. Muller K. (G) 9. Schimmer S. 4. Siersleben T. 23. Traore O. H. 38. Wagner Y.	20. Adamu J. 30. Gunter C. 27. Hofler N. 5. Jung A. 31. Matanovic I. 21. Muller F. (G) 37. Rosenfelder M. 7. Scherhant D. 14. Suzuki Y.
Coaches
Schmidt F.	Schuster J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Keller T. 🟨,
37', Gimber B. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Manzambi J. ⚽, Treu P. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gimber B. ↓, Ibrahimovic A. ↑,
46', Keller T. ↓, Siersleben T. ↑,
46', Lienhart P. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Mainka P. ⚽, Busch M. (A),
67', Manzambi J. ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
67', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
70', Niehues J. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
71', Rosenfelder M. ↓, Jung A. ↑,
83', Busch M. ↓, Traore O. H. ↑,
84', Kubler L. ↓, Gunter C. ↑,
87', Jung A. 🟨,
88', Dorsch N. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Schimmer S. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 1.

Heidenheim has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Freiburg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Heidenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Freiburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Knee Injury) Feller F. (Knee Injury) Kaufmann M. (Groin Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury) Zivzivadze B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E. (Muscle Injury) Irie C. (Illness) Makengo J. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Union Berlin - Heidenheim	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Heidenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:3 ✺
08.11.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim	6:0 ✺
01.11.25	Heidenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Heidenheim - Hamburger SV	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLTL
- SC Freiburg
German DFB Pokal
03.12.25	Freiburg - Darmstadt	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.11.25	Freiburg - Mainz	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	6:2 ✺
09.11.25	Freiburg - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
08.02.25	Freiburg - Heidenheim	1:0
21.09.24	Heidenheim - Freiburg	0:3
11.05.24	Freiburg - Heidenheim	1:1
20.12.23	Heidenheim - Freiburg	3:2
German 2 Bundesliga
08.05.16	Freiburg - Heidenheim	2:0
27.11.15	Heidenheim - Freiburg	1:2

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