Match Info

Date: 18 October 2020, Sunday


	Paraná Clube Curitiba		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.3	2.65	3.4
	2.28	2.63	3.45	Watch
	2.41	2.75	3.2
	2.53	2.87	3.45
	2.45	2.8	3.2
	2.4	3.02	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.31)	2.83 ↓ (2.83)	3.29 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraná Clube Curitiba
38.9%

Draw
32.8%

Sampaio Corrêa
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

32.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

22.1%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraná Clube Curitiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paraná Clube Curitiba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampaio Corrêa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paraná Clube Curitiba - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 11).

Paraná is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sampaio Corrêa in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sampaio Corrêa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Paraná will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Paraná won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Paraná won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Serie B
10.10.20	CS Alagoano - Paraná Clube Curitiba	4:0 ✺
06.10.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0 ✺
02.10.20	Botafogo SP - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
29.09.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
26.09.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLTT
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
14.10.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Figueirense	3:0 ✺
11.10.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
08.10.20	Cruzeiro - Sampaio Corrêa	1:2 ✺
03.10.20	Sampaio Corrêa - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
29.09.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
22.02.18	Sampaio Corrêa - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
30.08.16	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
24.05.16	Sampaio Corrêa - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:2
28.11.15	Sampaio Corrêa - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:1
14.08.15	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
02.09.14	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0
18.04.14	Sampaio Corrêa - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:2

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